Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2022-08-31 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 230 lb · Age 25
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 719 | 118 | 177 | 37 | 21 | .281 | .364 | .529 | .893 |
| 2025 | 651 | 85 | 158 | 17 | 30 | .274 | .349 | .438 | .787 |
| 2026 | 439 | 55 | 89 | 17 | 7 | .224 | .294 | .403 | .697 |
| 5 Seasons | 2563 | 370 | 597 | 103 | 69 | .262 | .338 | .470 | .808 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
58
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.367 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.308 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.327 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
xwOBA
0.301
0.314
0.327
0.340
0.353
wOBA
0.306
0.319
0.334
0.349
0.362
ISO
0.165
0.179
0.195
0.212
0.226
K%
19.6%
20.7%
22.0%
23.2%
24.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
50
-34 vs proj
Exit velocity89.8
71
Hard-hit%45.2%
76
-18 vs proj
xBA0.318
47
xSLG0.521
54
xwOBA0.308
50
-43 vs proj
BB%7.9%
42
-25 vs proj
Bat speed72.7
85
K%22.2%
50
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
67
Arm Strength93.9 · SS
91
Outs Above Avg2.0 · SS
77
Range Runs1.8 · SS
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · SS
78
Bolts2.0 · SS
33
SB Success Rate85.7% · SS
67
Sprint Speed28.3 · SS
77
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.9% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.7% · rebadged research
26
Correct Decisions64.5% · rebadged research
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
27
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
28
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
13
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.320 · validated thin sample
2
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.342 · insufficient sample
23
Resists FastballwOBA 0.296 · validated
98
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
78
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
210 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.062 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.035 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Henderson’s wOBA sits at 0.334, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.308 — a gap of 0.026, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 454 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Young, Cole SEA · L | 0.75 | Pull rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.74 | Whiff rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Stott, Bryson PHI · L | 0.74 | Max exit velocityBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Davis, Henry PIT · R | 0.72 | In-zone contactIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-05-17 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.369 xwOBA | 24 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 |
| 2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 BB, 3 K |
| 2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, R, SB |
| 2026-04-14 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 2 K |