Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
SEA 23:14 UTC Ingest OK

Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-09-13 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-09-13
0 activated plays
Gap rows 288
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-09-14 Older: 2026-09-12

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-09-27 2026-09-26 2026-09-25 2026-09-24 2026-09-23 2026-09-22 2026-09-21 2026-09-20

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Freddie Freeman

Play

LAD vs MIA | Eury Pérez

Value Score 34.8
Odds / Gap +495 / +5.40%
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.091x

Value Rank #2

Yandy Díaz

Play

TB vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski

Value Score 33.6
Odds / Gap +575 / +6.75%
1+ HR 21.6%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.094x

Value Rank #3

Cedric Mullins

Play

TB vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski

Value Score 25.7
Odds / Gap +605 / +5.89%
1+ HR 20.1%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.094x

Value Rank #4

Trea Turner

Play

PHI vs ATL | Grant Holmes

Value Score 23.8
Odds / Gap +580 / +5.37%
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.052x

Value Rank #5

Gunnar Henderson

Lean

BAL vs TOR | Dylan Cease

Value Score 22.5
Odds / Gap +455 / +2.66%
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.082x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Yandy Díaz headshot

Yandy Díaz
TB vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.75%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+6.75%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+6.63%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+6.63%
14.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adley Rutschman headshot

Adley Rutschman
BAL vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1030
+6.59%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +710 / U -1095
+6.59%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
+6.52%
12.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan Aranda headshot

Jonathan Aranda
TB vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+6.51%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -980
+6.51%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+6.43%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Marsh headshot

Brandon Marsh
PHI vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.44%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1170
+6.44%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +770 / U -1240
+6.31%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +770 / U --
+6.31%
11.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.42%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1155
+6.42%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+6.35%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+6.35%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Edouard Julien headshot

Edouard Julien
COL vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.11%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +790 / U -1195
+6.11%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +785 / U -1270
+6.05%
10.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +785 / U --
+6.05%
11.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.99%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +765 / U -1145
+5.99%
11.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +760 / U -1215
+5.92%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +760 / U --
+5.92%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cedric Mullins headshot

Cedric Mullins
TB vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.89%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -835
+5.89%
13.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +605 / U -885
+5.89%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+5.89%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.86%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +805 / U -1225
+5.86%
10.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +795 / U -1295
+5.74%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +795 / U --
+5.74%
11.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daniel Schneemann headshot

Daniel Schneemann
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.72%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +810 / U -1230
+5.72%
10.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +800 / U -1305
+5.60%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +800 / U --
+5.60%
11.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ezequiel Tovar headshot

Ezequiel Tovar
COL vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.65%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -950
+5.65%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1010
+5.65%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +665 / U --
+5.57%
13.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.2
Willi Castro headshot

Willi Castro
COL vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.45%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +885 / U -1400
+5.45%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +870 / U -1480
+5.29%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+5.29%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.3
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.40%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+5.40%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+5.26%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -640
+5.12%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.37%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -835
+5.37%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -785
+5.27%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+5.27%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.35%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +855 / U -1340
+5.35%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1415
+5.24%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +845 / U --
+5.24%
10.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brenton Doyle headshot

Brenton Doyle
COL vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.33%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +705 / U -1015
+5.33%
12.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1080
+5.25%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +700 / U --
+5.25%
12.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.27%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +955 / U -1570
+5.27%
9.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +935 / U --
+5.09%
9.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +930 / U -1655
+5.04%
9.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.09%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+5.09%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+3.38%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-7.91%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Andrew Benintendi headshot

Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.81%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -900
+4.81%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+4.81%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +640 / U --
+4.81%
13.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Rob Refsnyder headshot

Rob Refsnyder
SEA vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
+4.59%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +690 / U -1060
+4.51%
12.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
+4.51%
12.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs TEX | Cal Quantrill | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.58%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -890
+4.58%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +605 / U -840
+4.48%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+4.48%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs TEX | Cal Quantrill | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.56%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +935 / U -1520
+4.56%
9.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +920 / U --
+4.42%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +915 / U -1605
+4.37%
9.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.4
Jarren Duran headshot

Jarren Duran
BOS vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.54%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +790 / U -1190
+4.54%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +780 / U -1260
+4.42%
10.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +780 / U --
+4.42%
11.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+4.52%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+4.43%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+4.43%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.27%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +590 / U -850
+4.27%
13.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +585 / U -800
+4.16%
14.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
+4.16%
14.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.22%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +630 / U -930
+4.22%
13.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +625 / U -875
+4.13%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+4.13%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bo Naylor headshot

Bo Naylor
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.14%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+4.14%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -915
+4.14%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+4.14%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.14%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+4.14%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+4.03%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+4.03%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +4.05%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 19.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+4.05%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+2.71%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-7.27%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.98%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+3.98%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+3.85%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+3.73%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wyatt Langford headshot

Wyatt Langford
TEX vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.94%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -775
+3.94%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
+3.82%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+3.82%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+3.73%
15.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+3.60%
16.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -690
+3.47%
15.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.62%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+3.62%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1125
+3.54%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+3.54%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.62%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+3.62%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+2.28%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-6.84%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Colson Montgomery headshot

Colson Montgomery
CWS vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.50%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +325 / U -400
+3.50%
22.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +335 / U -430
+2.37%
22.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +330 / U --
-6.76%
23.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Steven Kwan headshot

Steven Kwan
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1720
+3.38%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+3.22%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1815
+3.17%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.8
Roman Anthony headshot

Roman Anthony
BOS vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.37%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1145
+3.37%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +760 / U -1215
+3.23%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +760 / U --
+3.23%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Jung headshot

Josh Jung
TEX vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +3.15%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +665 / U -945
+3.15%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +665 / U -1005
+3.15%
12.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +665 / U --
+3.15%
13.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trevor Larnach headshot

Trevor Larnach
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +3.04%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +705 / U -1020
+3.04%
12.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +705 / U -1085
+3.04%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +700 / U --
+2.96%
12.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.98%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+2.98%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+2.86%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+2.86%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.88%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 19.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +285 / U -345
+2.88%
25.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +295 / U -370
+1.69%
24.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +290 / U --
-6.05%
25.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lawrence Butler headshot

Lawrence Butler
ATH vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.74%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -775
+2.74%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
+2.62%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+2.62%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +2.71%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 11.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1005 / U -1700
+2.71%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +985 / U --
+2.54%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +980 / U -1795
+2.50%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 106.4
Gunnar Henderson headshot

Gunnar Henderson
BAL vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +2.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+2.66%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+2.33%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+2.33%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Soderstrom headshot

Tyler Soderstrom
ATH vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+2.66%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+2.55%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+2.55%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.53%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+2.53%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -700
+2.40%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.40%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+2.46%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+2.29%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+2.11%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.42%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+2.42%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+2.27%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -610
+2.11%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs SD | Nick Pivetta | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.36%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+2.36%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+2.27%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+2.27%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+2.25%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+2.07%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+1.89%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Nimmo headshot

Brandon Nimmo
TEX vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.22%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -770
+2.22%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -720
+2.10%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+2.10%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willson Contreras headshot

Willson Contreras
BOS vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.98%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +510 / U -710
+1.98%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +505 / U -665
+1.84%
16.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +505 / U --
+1.84%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs TEX | Cal Quantrill | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.94%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+1.94%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.77%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+1.60%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.87%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+1.87%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+1.74%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+1.74%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.71%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+1.71%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.54%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -565
+1.37%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.70%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+1.70%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+1.54%
18.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+1.37%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
+1.61%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+1.29%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.29%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.59%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+1.59%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+1.40%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+1.21%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.54%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -675
+1.54%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+1.26%
16.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+1.26%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs SD | Nick Pivetta | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.52%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+1.52%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+1.39%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+1.39%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+1.39%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.22%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+1.05%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Edgar Quero headshot

Edgar Quero
CWS vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.19%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.19%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.19%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+1.19%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.3
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.06%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+1.06%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+0.87%
19.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
+0.68%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jung Hoo Lee headshot

Jung Hoo Lee
SF vs SD | Nick Pivetta | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +0.94%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.94%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.94%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.94%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.93%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+0.93%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+0.81%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+0.81%
14.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
José Ramírez headshot

José Ramírez
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.89%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
+0.89%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
+0.68%
20.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
+0.47%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Cronenworth headshot

Jake Cronenworth
SD vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +0.70%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +905 / U -1450
+0.70%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +890 / U -1535
+0.55%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+0.55%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.4
Chandler Simpson headshot

Chandler Simpson
TB vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.67%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 3.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.67%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.17%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-4.17%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 99.4
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
+0.64%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-0.39%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-3.99%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Pete Alonso headshot

Pete Alonso
BAL vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +330 / U -410
+0.64%
22.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +345 / U -440
-0.45%
21.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +335 / U --
-4.02%
23.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Taylor Ward headshot

Taylor Ward
BAL vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.54%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+0.54%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+0.38%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.38%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +310 / U -375
+0.46%
23.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +320 / U -405
-0.79%
22.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +315 / U --
-3.51%
24.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Junior Caminero headshot

Junior Caminero
TB vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.40%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+0.40%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-0.59%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-3.69%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corey Seager headshot

Corey Seager
TEX vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +355 / U -445
+0.26%
21.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-0.70%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-3.65%
21.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Manzardo headshot

Kyle Manzardo
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+0.23%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+0.08%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -610
-0.08%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs SD | Nick Pivetta | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.08%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.08%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.08%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 103.8
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -505
+0.08%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-0.13%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.35%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.05%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+0.05%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
-0.08%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
-0.08%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.11%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 4.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.11%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.61%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-3.39%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.2
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs SD | Nick Pivetta | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-0.23%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.54%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.54%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.60%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -545
-0.60%
18.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +435 / U -580
-1.39%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
-2.77%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.64%
20.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-1.65%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-2.65%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Burger headshot

Jake Burger
TEX vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.65%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +390 / U -490
-0.65%
19.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +400 / U -525
-1.60%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
-2.81%
20.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Wallner headshot

Matt Wallner
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.78%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -500
-0.78%
19.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +405 / U -535
-1.70%
19.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
-2.55%
20.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -670
-0.79%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
-0.94%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
-0.94%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.83%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.83%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.83%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.83%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.7
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.85%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
-0.85%
15.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +535 / U -715
-0.98%
15.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
-0.98%
15.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
-1.00%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
-1.12%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
-1.12%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 104.8
Max Muncy headshot

Max Muncy
LAD vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -565
-1.03%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-1.21%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-1.40%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.05%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -480
-1.05%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-1.28%
21.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +360 / U -450
-1.51%
21.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.34%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-1.34%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-1.71%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-1.95%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler O'Neill headshot

Tyler O'Neill
BAL vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.36%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-1.36%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-1.67%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-1.67%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs SD | Nick Pivetta | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-1.44%
19.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-1.64%
20.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.65%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs TEX | Cal Quantrill | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.46%
20.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-1.67%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-1.68%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Hunter Goodman headshot

Hunter Goodman
COL vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
-1.48%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
-1.62%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-1.80%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Chase Meidroth headshot

Chase Meidroth
CWS vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.70%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 6.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-1.70%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-1.80%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-1.80%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 106.5

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 481
Latest Date 2026-09-27
Latest Signals 0
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-09-27
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 249 matched
0 unmatched
 2 / 14 / 73
Strong / Play / Lean
 0
-- | --
 --
Signals --
2026-09-26
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 183 matched
0 unmatched
 0 / 6 / 49
Strong / Play / Lean
 0
-- | --
 --
Signals --
2026-09-25
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 315 matched
51 unmatched
 1 / 21 / 64
Strong / Play / Lean
 0
-- | --
 --
Signals --
2026-09-24
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 174 matched
0 unmatched
 0 / 26 / 20
Strong / Play / Lean
 3
Corbin Carroll | 32.7
 --
Signals --
2026-09-23
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 222 matched
0 unmatched
 1 / 17 / 30
Strong / Play / Lean
 0
-- | --
 --
Signals --
2026-09-22
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 243 matched
42 unmatched
 1 / 30 / 31
Strong / Play / Lean
 1
Carlos Santana | 27.2
 --
Signals --
2026-09-21
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 33 matched
0 unmatched
 0 / 0 / 15
Strong / Play / Lean
 0
-- | --
 --
Signals --
2026-09-20
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 258 matched
0 unmatched
 14 / 41 / 66
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Jeremy Peña | 37.3
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373
Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025
Over Hit Rate 15.8%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%