Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 213 lb |
| Debut | 2020-08-17 |
Player profile / Houston Astros
Isaac Paredes
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 213 lb · Age 27
Club Houston Astros
Position 3B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 641 | 64 | 129 | 19 | 1 | .238 | .346 | .393 | .739 |
| 2025 | 438 | 53 | 96 | 20 | 0 | .254 | .352 | .458 | .810 |
| 2026 | 270 | 27 | 54 | 9 | 0 | .233 | .333 | .401 | .734 |
| 7 Seasons | 2494 | 277 | 507 | 101 | 2 | .236 | .336 | .426 | .762 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
37
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.310 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.321 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.316 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.302
0.316
0.330
0.343
wOBA
0.304
0.321
0.341
0.360
0.377
ISO
0.129
0.145
0.162
0.179
0.195
K%
15.6%
16.8%
18.1%
19.4%
20.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
45
+17 vs proj
Exit velocity87.4
38
Hard-hit%31.9%
20
xBA0.301
26
xSLG0.469
35
xwOBA0.321
60
BB%9.9%
64
Bat speed66.0
12
K%17.5%
77
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
36
Arm Strength80.8 · 3B
12
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
45
Range Runs-2.2 · 3B
18
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · 3B
19
Sprint Speed25.0 · 3B
5
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.9% · rebadged research
67
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.9% · rebadged research
54
Correct Decisions67.2% · rebadged research
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · borderline
89
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.257 · insufficient sample
97
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
37
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.363 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
66
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.391 · validated
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
167 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.021 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Paredes’s wOBA sits at 0.341, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.321 — a gap of 0.020, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 274 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-04-20 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.319 xwOBA | 20 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-20 @ CLE2 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | 2 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-17 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-14 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |