Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 213 lb |
| Debut | 2020-08-17 |
Player profile / Houston Astros
Isaac Paredes
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 213 lb · Age 27
Club Houston Astros
Position 3B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 641 | 64 | 129 | 19 | 1 | .238 | .346 | .393 | .739 |
| 2025 | 438 | 53 | 96 | 20 | 0 | .254 | .352 | .458 | .810 |
| 2026 | 650 | 67 | 144 | 24 | 0 | .260 | .358 | .442 | .800 |
| 7 Seasons | 2874 | 317 | 597 | 116 | 2 | .242 | .342 | .432 | .774 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.310 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.322 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.319 |
| Observed weight | 75% |
xwOBA
0.299
0.308
0.319
0.330
0.339
wOBA
0.340
0.352
0.364
0.377
0.388
ISO
0.154
0.164
0.176
0.187
0.197
K%
13.2%
14.0%
14.9%
15.8%
16.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.5%
29
Exit velocity86.1
31
Hard-hit%29.7%
16
xBA0.289
20
xSLG0.439
28
xwOBA0.322
71
BB%10.7%
77
Bat speed65.6
10
K%13.6%
94
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
40
Arm Strength81.6 · 3B
8
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs-0.2 · 3B
51
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.7 · 3B
19
Sprint Speed25.1 · 3B
6
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.0% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
56
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
53
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.256 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.376 · insufficient sample
1
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.409 · validated
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.045 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Paredes’s wOBA sits at 0.364, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.322 — a gap of 0.042, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 661 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bellinger, Cody NYY · L | 0.58 | Pull rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L | 0.58 | Fly-ball rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Tucker, Kyle LAD · L | 0.57 | Oppo ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Bregman, Alex CHC · R | 0.55 | Whiff rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-09-24 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 31 | 2026-09-25 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.157 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.319 xwOBA | 20 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs SEA1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | HR, 2 RBI, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-20 @ CLE2 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | 2 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-17 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |