Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Jackson Merrill

CF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position CF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.369
xwOBA current pace0.317
xwOBA rolling p500.342
Observed weight53%
xwOBA
0.314 0.327 0.342 0.356 0.370
wOBA
0.264 0.282 0.302 0.321 0.339
ISO
0.127 0.142 0.159 0.176 0.191
K%
19.6% 20.9% 22.4% 23.9% 25.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.5%
44 +20 vs proj
Barrel%6.1%
63 -23 vs proj
Bat speed71.3
74
Exit velocity88.4
49
Hard-hit%46.6%
79
K%24.3%
37 -30 vs proj
xBA0.336
62
xSLG0.582
70
xwOBA0.317
58 -31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.0 · CF
86
Arm Strength95.6 · CF
75
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs1.0 · CF
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.2 · CF
94
Bolts2.0 · CF
37
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
93
Sprint Speed28.6 · CF
86
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.4% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.7% · rebadged research
92
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.261 · borderline
93
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
39
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
25
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
100
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
68
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.384 · validated
7
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Merrill, Jackson · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3072026-05-19: 0.3062026-05-21: 0.3072026-05-23: 0.3052026-05-24: 0.3092026-05-25: 0.3102026-05-26: 0.3072026-05-28: 0.3052026-05-29: 0.3052026-05-30: 0.3052026-05-31: 0.3162026-06-01: 0.317 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Merrill, Jackson · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 35%35%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Merrill, Jackson · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 39.9° Length 7.7 ft Ideal path 47% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Merrill, Jackson · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 10.5° Direction -0.7° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Merrill, Jackson · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.7 mph Hard swing rate 32% Whiff / swing 28% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height6' 2"
Weight195 lb
Debut2024-03-20
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.054
wOBA Δ-0.070

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-04-05Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.371 xwOBA | 19 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 2 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2B, K, 2 RBI
2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E3-4 | 2B, 2 R, SB
2026-04-12 vs COL1 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-3 | HR, RBI, 2 R