Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 202 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-07 |
Player profile / Houston Astros
Jeremy Peña
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 202 lb · Age 29
Club Houston Astros
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 650 | 78 | 160 | 15 | 20 | .266 | .308 | .394 | .702 |
| 2025 | 543 | 68 | 150 | 17 | 20 | .304 | .363 | .477 | .840 |
| 2026 | 471 | 77 | 118 | 20 | 12 | .271 | .321 | .461 | .782 |
| 5 Seasons | 2856 | 376 | 712 | 84 | 76 | .271 | .320 | .424 | .744 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
65
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.326 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.323 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.324 |
| Observed weight | 68% |
xwOBA
0.302
0.312
0.324
0.336
0.346
wOBA
0.320
0.333
0.348
0.363
0.376
ISO
0.157
0.167
0.179
0.190
0.201
K%
20.0%
21.0%
22.1%
23.2%
24.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
48
Exit velocity88.4
56
Hard-hit%39.0%
53
xBA0.360
88
xSLG0.569
72
xwOBA0.323
71
BB%5.1%
15
Bat speed70.7
68
K%23.9%
45
-32 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
64
Arm Strength91.3 · SS
78
Outs Above Avg-4.0 · SS
10
Range Runs-3.2 · SS
22
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.3 · SS
82
Bolts30.0 · SS
81
SB Success Rate81.8% · SS
54
Sprint Speed29.3 · SS
93
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.1% · rebadged research
13
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9% · rebadged research
75
Correct Decisions63.9% · rebadged research
27
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
24
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.250 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.252 · validated thin sample
95
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
51
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330 · validated
67
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
53
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
188 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.034 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Peña’s wOBA sits at 0.348, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.323 — a gap of 0.025, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 473 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carrigg, Cole COL · L | 0.77 | Isolated powerMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.74 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Crews, Dylan WSH · R | 0.68 | Sprint speedOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Jarren BOS · L | 0.67 | Swing lengthIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-07-22 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E | 1-4 | 2B, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-11 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-08 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K |
| 2026-04-07 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |