Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 202 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-07 |
Player profile / Houston Astros
Jeremy Peña
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 202 lb · Age 28
Club Houston Astros
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 650 | 78 | 160 | 15 | 20 | .266 | .308 | .394 | .702 |
| 2025 | 543 | 68 | 150 | 17 | 20 | .304 | .363 | .477 | .840 |
| 2026 | 216 | 35 | 56 | 6 | 8 | .287 | .347 | .426 | .773 |
| 5 Seasons | 2601 | 334 | 650 | 70 | 72 | .272 | .323 | .418 | .741 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
53
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.326 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.342 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.334 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.306
0.319
0.334
0.349
0.362
wOBA
0.311
0.331
0.353
0.374
0.394
ISO
0.116
0.130
0.145
0.160
0.173
K%
14.8%
15.9%
17.2%
18.4%
19.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.8%
19
-22 vs proj
Exit velocity87.4
40
Hard-hit%38.7%
48
xBA0.358
83
xSLG0.512
51
xwOBA0.342
80
+22 vs proj
BB%6.9%
29
Bat speed70.6
65
K%16.1%
84
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · SS
86
Arm Strength89.2 · SS
71
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · SS
28
Range Runs-0.6 · SS
39
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.2 · SS
90
Bolts11.0 · SS
70
SB Success Rate88.9% · SS
74
Sprint Speed29.1 · SS
92
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.5% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.0% · rebadged research
91
Correct Decisions67.9% · rebadged research
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
77
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
90 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.028 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.038 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Peña’s wOBA sits at 0.353, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.342 — a gap of 0.010, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 217 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R | 0.83 | Sweet-spot rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L | 0.76 | Isolated powerIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Merrill, Jackson SD · L | 0.75 | Walk rateSprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Young, Cole SEA · L | 0.74 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-04-07 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-11 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-08 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K |
| 2026-04-07 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-06 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E | 2-5 | 2B, R |