Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 205 lb |
| Debut | 2024-05-06 |
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians
Kyle Manzardo
1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 11", 205 lb · Age 25
Club Cleveland Guardians
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 156 | 11 | 34 | 5 | 0 | .234 | .282 | .421 | .703 |
| 2025 | 531 | 47 | 110 | 27 | 2 | .234 | .313 | .455 | .768 |
| 2026 | 310 | 32 | 58 | 10 | 0 | .215 | .310 | .359 | .669 |
| 3 Seasons | 997 | 90 | 202 | 42 | 2 | .228 | .307 | .420 | .727 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
69
Exit velocity89.1
62
Hard-hit%39.0%
50
xBA0.347
76
xSLG0.586
73
xwOBA0.309
52
BB%10.2%
69
Bat speed67.9
26
K%31.6%
10
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
12
Range Runs-2.2 · 1B
26
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.4 · 1B
9
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.7% · rebadged research
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
47
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · borderline
32
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257 · validated thin sample
95
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
91
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
27
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
53
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
126 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Manzardo’s wOBA sits at 0.336, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.309 — a gap of 0.027, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 332 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wells, Austin NYY · L | 0.76 | Whiff rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L | 0.70 | Fly-ball ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R | 0.69 | Chase ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R | 0.63 | Whiff rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-05-11 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.316 xwOBA | 22 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-17 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ STL0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-2 | RBI |
| 2026-04-14 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2B, 2 K, R |