Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 235 lb |
| Debut | 2017-07-25 |
Player profile / San Francisco Giants
Rafael Devers
1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 235 lb · Age 29
Club San Francisco Giants
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 601 | 87 | 143 | 28 | 3 | .272 | .354 | .516 | .870 |
| 2025 | 729 | 99 | 153 | 35 | 1 | .252 | .372 | .479 | .851 |
| 2026 | 412 | 49 | 91 | 19 | 0 | .246 | .316 | .473 | .789 |
| 10 Seasons | 5356 | 764 | 1306 | 254 | 33 | .273 | .346 | .504 | .850 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
82
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.354 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.327 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.337 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.312
0.323
0.337
0.350
0.362
wOBA
0.322
0.336
0.352
0.367
0.382
ISO
0.194
0.210
0.227
0.245
0.261
K%
23.9%
25.1%
26.4%
27.7%
28.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.7%
84
Exit velocity92.2
93
Hard-hit%50.8%
93
xBA0.335
64
xSLG0.662
89
xwOBA0.327
70
-20 vs proj
BB%9.2%
56
-29 vs proj
Bat speed70.4
61
K%27.2%
25
-15 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
28
Range Runs-0.6 · 1B
40
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · 1B
21
Bolts1.0 · 1B
15
Sprint Speed26.1 · 1B
20
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
46
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
53
Correct Decisions67.6% · rebadged research
64
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.264 · borderline
91
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
45
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.261 · validated thin sample
92
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.389 · insufficient sample
1
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
76
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
26
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
181 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.037 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.012 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Devers’s wOBA sits at 0.352, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.327 — a gap of 0.024, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 415 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pederson, Joc TEX · L | 0.80 | Isolated powerOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R | 0.74 | Isolated powerGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| McMahon, Ryan NYY · L | 0.73 | Hard-hit rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Alonso, Pete BAL · R | 0.70 | Whiff ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-06-30 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.364 xwOBA | 29 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B |
| 2026-04-17 @ WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | K, R |
| 2026-04-14 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-12 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 1 E | 1-4 | 3 K |