Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 261 lb |
| Debut | 2016-07-08 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Josh Bell
DH · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 3", 261 lb · Age 33
Club Minnesota Twins
Position DH
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 603 | 62 | 134 | 19 | 0 | .249 | .319 | .405 | .724 |
| 2025 | 533 | 54 | 111 | 22 | 0 | .237 | .325 | .417 | .742 |
| 2026 | 383 | 48 | 87 | 13 | 1 | .248 | .305 | .425 | .730 |
| 11 Seasons | 5542 | 652 | 1240 | 206 | 5 | .255 | .339 | .442 | .781 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.326 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.331 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.330 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.305
0.317
0.330
0.343
0.354
wOBA
0.302
0.316
0.332
0.348
0.363
ISO
0.143
0.155
0.169
0.183
0.196
K%
19.3%
20.4%
21.6%
22.8%
23.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
79
Exit velocity89.6
68
Hard-hit%42.0%
63
xBA0.332
61
xSLG0.595
75
xwOBA0.331
73
BB%7.6%
37
-25 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
65
K%21.6%
55
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
28
Range Runs-0.9 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.7 · DH
8
Sprint Speed26.0 · DH
18
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.6% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.1% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions68.3% · rebadged research
71
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
73
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.304 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
36
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
39
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
98
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361 · validated
14
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.335 · validated
93
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
194 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.001 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Bell’s wOBA sits at 0.332, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.331 — a gap of 0.001, -0.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 394 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machado, Manny SD · R | 0.77 | Chase rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Christian HOU · R | 0.76 | Chase rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Burleson, Alec STL · L | 0.74 | Fly-ball rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Lewis, Royce MIN · R | 0.74 | Max exit velocityIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-07-04 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 |
| 2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-14 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-13 vs BOS0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, 2 RBI, R |