Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Manny Machado

3B profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position 3B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.331
xwOBA current pace0.317
xwOBA rolling p500.323
Observed weight52%
xwOBA
0.298 0.310 0.323 0.337 0.349
wOBA
0.251 0.269 0.288 0.308 0.326
ISO
0.139 0.155 0.172 0.189 0.205
K%
18.9% 20.3% 21.8% 23.3% 24.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%11.5%
77 +38 vs proj
Barrel%5.3%
54 -23 vs proj
Bat speed72.0
80
Exit velocity89.8
67
Hard-hit%44.4%
68 -15 vs proj
K%22.6%
46 -15 vs proj
xBA0.315
40
xSLG0.544
61
xwOBA0.317
57 -18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.5 · 3B
50
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 3B
88
Range Runs2.1 · 3B
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · 3B
29
Sprint Speed24.5 · 3B
2
SB Success Rate50.0% · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.8% · rebadged research
62
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
78
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.257 · borderline
94
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
76
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
34
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
46
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
34
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.314 · validated
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Machado, Manny · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3072026-05-19: 0.3092026-05-21: 0.3132026-05-23: 0.3112026-05-24: 0.3082026-05-25: 0.3072026-05-26: 0.3022026-05-28: 0.3092026-05-29: 0.3082026-05-30: 0.3082026-05-31: 0.3092026-06-01: 0.317 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Machado, Manny · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 23%23%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 77%77%Hard hit: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Machado, Manny · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 27.9° Length 7.7 ft Ideal path 44% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Machado, Manny · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 4.1° Direction +3.1° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Machado, Manny · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.2 mph Hard swing rate 26% Whiff / swing 25% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 2"
Weight218 lb
Debut2012-08-09
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.023
wOBA Δ-0.051

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-05-03Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.340 xwOBA | 26 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K
2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K, R
2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4
2026-04-12 vs COL0 HR | 2 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-1 | 2 BB, 2 RBI