Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Francisco Giants Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Francisco Giants

Matt Chapman

3B profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Francisco Giants Position 3B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.326
xwOBA current pace0.265
xwOBA rolling p500.293
Observed weight54%
xwOBA
0.265 0.279 0.293 0.308 0.322
wOBA
0.295 0.313 0.333 0.353 0.370
ISO
0.109 0.125 0.143 0.161 0.177
K%
20.4% 21.8% 23.4% 25.0% 26.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.3%
58
Barrel%3.9%
33 -44 vs proj
Bat speed73.9
94
Exit velocity87.4
37
Hard-hit%34.7%
27 -57 vs proj
K%21.4%
53 +18 vs proj
xBA0.279
16
xSLG0.392
14
xwOBA0.265
14 -56 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength88.3 · 3B
72
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 3B
88
Range Runs2.2 · 3B
79
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · 3B
36
Sprint Speed28.1 · 3B
72
SB Success Rate0.0% · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.7% · rebadged research
85
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions70.0% · rebadged research
83
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
70
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
33
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.305 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330 · validated
69
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.336 · validated
90
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Chapman, Matt · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.2522026-05-19: 0.2532026-05-21: 0.2532026-05-23: 0.2582026-05-24: 0.2572026-05-25: 0.2592026-05-26: 0.2562026-05-28: 0.2602026-05-29: 0.2622026-05-30: 0.2622026-05-31: 0.2592026-06-01: 0.265 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Chapman, Matt · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 25%25%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Chapman, Matt · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 26.6° Length 7.3 ft Ideal path 37% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Chapman, Matt · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 2.9° Direction -1.1° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Chapman, Matt · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 75.3 mph Hard swing rate 57% Whiff / swing 17% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 1"
Weight220 lb
Debut2017-06-15
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.067
wOBA Δ+0.000

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-03-25Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA | 20 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2 R
2026-04-17 @ WSH0 HR | 3 RBI / 6 Ch | 1 E3-5 | K, 3 RBI, R
2026-04-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-4 | R
2026-04-14 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-4
2026-04-12 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K