Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / MIN
Byron Buxton
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 190 lb · Age 32
Club MIN
Position --
Roster profile
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 388 | 62 | 99 | 18 | 7 | .279 | .335 | .524 | .859 |
| 2025 | 542 | 97 | 129 | 35 | 24 | .264 | .327 | .551 | .878 |
| 2026 | 408 | 65 | 94 | 25 | 7 | .254 | .319 | .511 | .830 |
| 12 Seasons | 3825 | 588 | 862 | 193 | 124 | .248 | .309 | .490 | .799 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
87
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.329 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.343 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.338 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.316
0.326
0.338
0.350
0.361
wOBA
0.344
0.358
0.374
0.390
0.404
ISO
0.227
0.240
0.255
0.270
0.284
K%
23.2%
24.4%
25.7%
27.0%
28.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%11.0%
99
Exit velocity90.3
81
Hard-hit%47.1%
87
xBA0.340
75
xSLG0.669
93
xwOBA0.343
88
BB%7.7%
40
Bat speed72.5
84
K%24.6%
40
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.4 · CF
19
Arm Strength95.9 · CF
66
Outs Above Avg3.0 · CF
92
Range Runs2.7 · CF
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · CF
46
Bolts36.0 · CF
86
Sprint Speed29.7 · CF
97
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.1% · rebadged research
33
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.9% · rebadged research
87
Correct Decisions66.9% · rebadged research
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
44
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
72
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.373 · insufficient sample
2
Resists FastballwOBA 0.372 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.376 · validated
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
202 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.037 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Buxton’s wOBA sits at 0.374, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.343 — a gap of 0.031, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 418 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.64 | Pull rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L | 0.61 | Chase rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Carroll, Corbin AZ · L | 0.60 | Sprint speedPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Mayo, Coby BAL · R | 0.56 | In-zone contactHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-07-24 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 7 | 2026-08-24 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.012 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.337 xwOBA | 27 HR | Projection |