Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2015-06-14 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton
CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 190 lb · Age 32
Club Minnesota Twins
Position CF
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 388 | 62 | 99 | 18 | 7 | .279 | .335 | .524 | .859 |
| 2025 | 542 | 97 | 129 | 35 | 24 | .264 | .327 | .551 | .878 |
| 2026 | 335 | 57 | 83 | 25 | 7 | .271 | .328 | .575 | .903 |
| 12 Seasons | 3752 | 580 | 851 | 193 | 124 | .250 | .310 | .495 | .805 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
87
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.329 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.351 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.343 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.319
0.330
0.343
0.355
0.367
wOBA
0.366
0.382
0.399
0.417
0.433
ISO
0.251
0.266
0.283
0.300
0.314
K%
23.3%
24.6%
26.0%
27.4%
28.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%13.0%
100
Exit velocity90.8
84
Hard-hit%48.0%
86
xBA0.343
72
xSLG0.709
95
xwOBA0.351
85
BB%7.2%
33
Bat speed72.5
83
K%24.9%
36
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.2 · CF
14
Arm Strength95.9 · CF
72
Outs Above Avg4.0 · CF
95
Range Runs3.3 · CF
84
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · CF
45
Bolts32.0 · CF
90
Sprint Speed29.9 · CF
99
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.8% · rebadged research
28
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.8% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
59
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
19
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268 · validated thin sample
85
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.387 · insufficient sample
1
Resists FastballwOBA 0.384 · validated
4
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
38
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
176 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.063 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Buxton’s wOBA sits at 0.399, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.351 — a gap of 0.048, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 345 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moniak, Mickey COL · L | 0.50 | Bat speedWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Goodman, Hunter COL · R | 0.47 | Hard-hit rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R | 0.46 | xwOBA on contactBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.45 | Strikeout rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-05-01 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.337 xwOBA | 27 HR | Projection |