Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 7" |
| Weight | 175 lb |
| Debut | 2018-08-10 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Cedric Mullins
CF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 7", 175 lb · Age 31
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 499 | 69 | 104 | 18 | 32 | .234 | .305 | .405 | .710 |
| 2025 | 498 | 58 | 94 | 17 | 22 | .216 | .299 | .391 | .690 |
| 2026 | 493 | 56 | 88 | 15 | 21 | .205 | .285 | .347 | .632 |
| 9 Seasons | 3710 | 460 | 796 | 118 | 168 | .241 | .312 | .410 | .722 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
16
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.294 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.264 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.253
0.262
0.273
0.284
0.294
wOBA
0.286
0.298
0.312
0.326
0.338
ISO
0.122
0.133
0.144
0.156
0.167
K%
17.8%
18.8%
19.8%
20.9%
21.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.1%
25
Exit velocity84.9
18
Hard-hit%32.0%
23
-17 vs proj
xBA0.244
3
xSLG0.398
12
xwOBA0.264
16
-18 vs proj
BB%9.3%
60
Bat speed67.4
24
K%19.1%
72
+18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · CF
35
Arm Strength93.3 · CF
48
Outs Above Avg11.0 · CF
99
Range Runs10.1 · CF
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.5 · CF
22
Bolts5.0 · CF
46
SB Success Rate62.5% · CF
14
Sprint Speed27.9 · CF
61
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.4% · rebadged research
55
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.3% · rebadged research
92
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
78
Resists FastballwOBA 0.307 · validated
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
84
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · insufficient sample
94
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
65
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
228 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.025 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.023 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Mullins’s wOBA sits at 0.312, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.264 — a gap of 0.048, -1.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 514 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albies, Ozzie ATL · L | 0.64 | Whiff ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Bazzana, Travis CLE · L | 0.61 | Oppo rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Taveras, Leody BAL · L | 0.55 | Barrel rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Lee, Brooks MIN · L | 0.53 | Barrel rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-07-02 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 25 | 2026-09-23 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.879 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.289 xwOBA | 17 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs BAL0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 3B, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-05-20 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | SB |