Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 7" |
| Weight | 175 lb |
| Debut | 2018-08-10 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Cedric Mullins
CF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 7", 175 lb · Age 31
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position CF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 499 | 69 | 104 | 18 | 32 | .234 | .305 | .405 | .710 |
| 2025 | 498 | 58 | 94 | 17 | 22 | .216 | .299 | .391 | .690 |
| 2026 | 319 | 32 | 56 | 11 | 14 | .200 | .278 | .339 | .617 |
| 9 Seasons | 3536 | 436 | 764 | 114 | 161 | .243 | .313 | .412 | .725 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
15
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.294 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.262 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.275 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.252
0.263
0.275
0.287
0.298
wOBA
0.280
0.295
0.312
0.329
0.345
ISO
0.117
0.129
0.144
0.158
0.171
K%
18.5%
19.7%
21.0%
22.2%
23.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
21
Exit velocity85.1
18
Hard-hit%31.0%
17
-18 vs proj
xBA0.247
4
xSLG0.411
16
xwOBA0.262
12
-19 vs proj
BB%9.2%
57
Bat speed67.0
20
K%20.5%
62
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · CF
63
Arm Strength89.8 · CF
20
Outs Above Avg6.0 · CF
97
Range Runs5.7 · CF
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · CF
29
Bolts3.0 · CF
42
SB Success Rate69.2% · CF
25
Sprint Speed27.8 · CF
61
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.2% · rebadged research
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0% · rebadged research
85
Correct Decisions68.8% · rebadged research
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
76
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
70
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
84
Resists FastballwOBA 0.288 · validated
99
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
31
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
158 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.024 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Mullins’s wOBA sits at 0.312, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.262 — a gap of 0.050, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 337 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albies, Ozzie ATL · L | 0.65 | Barrel ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Lee, Brooks MIN · L | 0.62 | Barrel rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Bazzana, Travis CLE · L | 0.61 | Bat speedStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L | 0.57 | In-zone contactWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-07-02 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.289 xwOBA | 17 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | SB |
| 2026-04-12 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 3B, R |