Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	682	114	173	39	41	.279	.335	.537	.872
2025	673	103	168	30	44	.283	.360	.503	.863
2026	539	70	111	12	37	.237	.323	.372	.695
14 Seasons	7298	1071	1779	297	324	.276	.351	.494	.845

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26

50

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

57

Defense3 metrics

64

Speed3 metrics

78

Plate skills10 metrics

58

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26

xwOBA preseason	0.338
xwOBA current pace	0.325
xwOBA rolling p50	0.329
Observed weight	72%

xwOBA

0.306 0.317 0.329 0.341 0.351

wOBA

0.317 0.330 0.343 0.357 0.369

ISO

0.138 0.150 0.163 0.176 0.188

K%

10.7% 11.5% 12.4% 13.3% 14.2%

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%3.8%

33 -19 vs proj

Exit velocity88.8

62

Hard-hit%39.4%

56

xBA0.311

41

xSLG0.459

35

xwOBA0.325

73

BB%11.0%

80 +23 vs proj

Bat speed68.9

39

K%12.6%

96

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Strength85.6 · 3B

39

Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B

80

Range Runs1.8 · 3B

74

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs4.7 · 3B

95

SB Success Rate89.3% · 3B

79

Sprint Speed27.9 · 3B

61

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-26

Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research

61

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research

65

Correct Decisions66.9% · rebadged research

57

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104

67

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · borderline

26

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample

30

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256 · validated thin sample

93

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample

56

Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated

36

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.326 · validated

95

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

José Ramírez's production (73) outpaces the tools grade (71) by 2 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Launch Angle Too High

-12.2° Current 32° → Target 20°

Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.7σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.343

xwOBA (deserved)0.325

Ramírez’s wOBA sits at 0.343, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.325 — a gap of 0.018, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 554 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Stott, Bryson PHI · L	0.74	Avg exit velocitySweet-spot rate	Player · Projection
Bregman, Alex CHC · R	0.71	Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contact	Player · Projection
Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L	0.71	Bat speedWhiff rate	Player · Projection
Bellinger, Cody NYY · L	0.69	Bat speedAvg exit velocity	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
Hitting	7	2026-09-18	Disciplined swing decisions drove the score

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.337 xwOBA \| 28 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 vs SD0 HR \| 1 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| 2B, K, RBI
2026-05-20 @ DET0 HR \| 1 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	1-5 \| 2B, 3 K, RBI
2026-04-20 vs HOU0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 1 E	1-4 \| 2B, BB, K
2026-04-17 vs BAL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	0-1 \| 4 BB, R, SB
2026-04-15 @ STL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| K, R

Age	34
Height	5' 8"
Weight	190 lb
Debut	2013-09-01

xwOBA Δ	-0.012
wOBA Δ	+0.006

Hitter Projections 20260.337 xwOBA \| 28 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 vs SD0 HR \| 1 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| 2B, K, RBI
2026-05-20 @ DET0 HR \| 1 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	1-5 \| 2B, 3 K, RBI
2026-04-20 vs HOU0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 1 E	1-4 \| 2B, BB, K
2026-04-17 vs BAL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	0-1 \| 4 BB, R, SB
2026-04-15 @ STL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| K, R

José Ramírez

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Swing path and decision map

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail