Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2015-06-08 |
Player profile / Houston Astros
Carlos Correa
SS profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.
Club Houston Astros
Position SS
Roster profile
Status IL-60
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.333 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.364 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.346 |
| Observed weight | 40% |
xwOBA
0.316
0.330
0.346
0.362
0.376
wOBA
0.328
0.352
0.379
0.406
0.430
ISO
0.121
0.141
0.163
0.184
0.204
K%
16.5%
17.9%
19.5%
21.1%
22.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
72
Exit velocity89.1
58
Hard-hit%40.2%
54
-17 vs proj
xBA0.367
87
xSLG0.583
70
xwOBA0.364
88
+19 vs proj
BB%13.4%
90
+47 vs proj
Bat speed71.9
78
K%18.1%
75
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · SS
31
Arm Strength91.8 · SS
85
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
70
Range Runs0.8 · SS
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.5 · SS
58
Sprint Speed27.2 · SS
45
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.1% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.5% · rebadged research
29
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
18
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.299 · insufficient sample
10
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
50
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
38
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
102 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.033 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.048 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Correa’s wOBA sits at 0.379, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.364 — a gap of 0.015, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 149 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.331 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |