Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 223 lb |
| Debut | 2021-05-08 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Trevor Larnach
LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 223 lb · Age 29
Club Minnesota Twins
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 400 | 59 | 92 | 15 | 4 | .259 | .338 | .434 | .772 |
| 2025 | 567 | 62 | 126 | 17 | 4 | .250 | .323 | .404 | .727 |
| 2026 | 291 | 44 | 73 | 7 | 2 | .289 | .379 | .451 | .830 |
| 6 Seasons | 1951 | 242 | 425 | 59 | 12 | .248 | .331 | .410 | .741 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
53
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.330 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.342 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.337 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.313
0.324
0.337
0.350
0.361
wOBA
0.359
0.376
0.395
0.414
0.431
ISO
0.147
0.160
0.176
0.191
0.205
K%
16.7%
18.1%
19.7%
21.3%
22.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
57
Exit velocity87.0
36
Hard-hit%35.0%
32
-37 vs proj
xBA0.333
62
xSLG0.512
51
xwOBA0.342
80
BB%11.4%
80
+20 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
53
K%16.9%
80
+22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.3 · LF
89
Arm Strength91.4 · LF
35
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · LF
2
Range Runs-4.1 · LF
10
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · LF
50
Sprint Speed26.9 · LF
37
SB Success Rate0.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.9% · rebadged research
57
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.7% · rebadged research
26
Correct Decisions63.8% · rebadged research
27
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.311 · borderline
11
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.309 · insufficient sample
4
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
90
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · insufficient sample
18
Resists FastballwOBA 0.374 · validated
8
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
64
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
45
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
142 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.063 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Larnach’s wOBA sits at 0.395, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.342 — a gap of 0.053, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 307 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker, Kyle LAD · L | 0.74 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Bellinger, Cody NYY · L | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R | 0.71 | Bat speedMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Varsho, Daulton TOR · L | 0.69 | Fly-ball rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-05-23 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.332 xwOBA | 18 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | BB |
| 2026-04-14 vs BOS0 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-12 @ TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2 K, R |
| 2026-04-11 @ TOR1 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HR, BB, 3 RBI |