Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 186 lb |
| Debut | 2019-05-18 |
Player profile / San Francisco Giants
Luis Arráez
2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 186 lb · Age 29
Club San Francisco Giants
Position 2B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 672 | 83 | 200 | 4 | 9 | .314 | .346 | .392 | .738 |
| 2025 | 675 | 66 | 181 | 8 | 11 | .292 | .327 | .392 | .719 |
| 2026 | 407 | 48 | 120 | 4 | 8 | .328 | .367 | .456 | .823 |
| 8 Seasons | 3940 | 484 | 1148 | 40 | 39 | .318 | .364 | .418 | .782 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
20
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.338 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.308 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.318 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.295
0.306
0.318
0.330
0.341
wOBA
0.344
0.359
0.375
0.391
0.406
ISO
0.108
0.120
0.133
0.146
0.157
K%
2.8%
3.6%
4.4%
5.3%
6.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.5%
2
Exit velocity86.0
25
Hard-hit%22.2%
4
xBA0.301
27
xSLG0.393
11
xwOBA0.308
50
-16 vs proj
BB%5.9%
20
Bat speed61.6
1
K%3.9%
100
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · 2B
87
Arm Strength88.0 · 2B
65
Outs Above Avg10.0 · 2B
99
Range Runs7.5 · 2B
99
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.9 · 2B
86
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
93
Sprint Speed26.7 · 2B
32
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.7% · rebadged research
45
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7% · rebadged research
20
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
1
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
69
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.359 · insufficient sample
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
20
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
250 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.052 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Arráez’s wOBA sits at 0.375, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.308 — a gap of 0.067, -2.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 408 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson, Jacob ATH · R | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactBat speed | Player · Projection |
| McKinstry, Zach DET · L | 0.38 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Edwards, Xavier MIA · L | 0.38 | Avg exit velocityIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Kwan, Steven CLE · L | 0.37 | Whiff rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-06-30 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.323 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-17 @ WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | R |
| 2026-04-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-14 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 |
| 2026-04-11 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 |