Mithrandir Metrics
Player Tampa Bay Rays Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays

Jonathan Aranda

1B profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
6
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Tampa Bay Rays Position 1B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.336
xwOBA current pace0.394
xwOBA rolling p500.367
Observed weight54%
xwOBA
0.341 0.354 0.367 0.381 0.393
wOBA
0.372 0.391 0.411 0.432 0.450
ISO
0.156 0.171 0.187 0.204 0.219
K%
20.6% 22.0% 23.6% 25.2% 26.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.3%
88 +39 vs proj
Barrel%8.0%
82
Bat speed68.6
36
Exit velocity91.4
88
Hard-hit%48.1%
85
K%23.2%
42
xBA0.390
93
xSLG0.723
93
xwOBA0.394
96 +17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
9
Range Runs-1.9 · 1B
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · 1B
18
Sprint Speed25.6 · 1B
13
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.3% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7% · rebadged research
55
Correct Decisions67.5% · rebadged research
64
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
70
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.331 · borderline
3
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
4
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.291 · validated thin sample
16
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
50
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
78
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.399 · validated
3
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Aranda, Jonathan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3692026-05-19: 0.3672026-05-21: 0.3652026-05-23: 0.3622026-05-24: 0.3622026-05-25: 0.3592026-05-26: 0.3642026-05-28: 0.3772026-05-29: 0.3762026-05-30: 0.3762026-05-31: 0.3822026-06-01: 0.394 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Aranda, Jonathan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 19%19%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 81%81%Hard hit: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Aranda, Jonathan · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 34.1° Length 7.2 ft Ideal path 51% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Aranda, Jonathan · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 8.5° Direction +3.4° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Aranda, Jonathan · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 70.4 mph Hard swing rate 9% Whiff / swing 20% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 0"
Weight215 lb
Debut2022-06-24
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.045
wOBA Δ+0.063

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting62026-05-27Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.348 xwOBA | 14 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs BAL0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2B, BB, K
2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 2 BB
2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, 2 K
2026-04-15 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2B, BB, RBI
2026-04-14 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2 BB, 2 K, R