Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-06 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Royce Lewis
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 200 lb · Age 27
Club Minnesota Twins
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 325 | 40 | 68 | 16 | 0 | .233 | .295 | .452 | .747 |
| 2025 | 403 | 36 | 89 | 13 | 12 | .237 | .283 | .388 | .671 |
| 2026 | 501 | 50 | 103 | 14 | 15 | .226 | .287 | .376 | .663 |
| 5 Seasons | 1509 | 167 | 339 | 60 | 33 | .246 | .302 | .428 | .730 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.318 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.304 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.287
0.297
0.308
0.319
0.329
wOBA
0.284
0.296
0.309
0.323
0.335
ISO
0.142
0.152
0.164
0.176
0.186
K%
21.6%
22.7%
23.9%
25.1%
26.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
81
Exit velocity89.3
68
Hard-hit%39.0%
54
xBA0.328
62
xSLG0.543
65
xwOBA0.304
53
BB%7.4%
37
Bat speed72.8
88
K%25.0%
37
-20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 1B
56
Arm Strength83.2 · 1B
17
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
14
Range Runs-2.8 · 1B
27
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.2 · 1B
82
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
93
Sprint Speed27.7 · 1B
56
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.4% · rebadged research
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.7% · rebadged research
77
Correct Decisions65.6% · rebadged research
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
58
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample
93
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.250 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.349 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.313 · validated
90
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
82
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
215 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.002 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Lewis’s wOBA sits at 0.309, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.304 — a gap of 0.005, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 524 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley, Austin ATL · R | 0.77 | In-zone contactMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Crews, Dylan WSH · R | 0.73 | Max exit velocityOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Adames, Willy SF · R | 0.72 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Castro, Willi COL · L | 0.69 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-09-01 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 25 | 2026-09-25 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.905 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.308 xwOBA | 18 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs PHI0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-09 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-08 vs DET0 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | BB, 2 RBI, SB |
| 2026-04-07 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-06 vs DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 2 BB, K, RBI |