Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-06 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Royce Lewis
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 200 lb · Age 27
Club Minnesota Twins
Position 3B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 325 | 40 | 68 | 16 | 0 | .233 | .295 | .452 | .747 |
| 2025 | 403 | 36 | 89 | 13 | 12 | .237 | .283 | .388 | .671 |
| 2026 | 256 | 30 | 50 | 10 | 6 | .219 | .297 | .399 | .696 |
| 5 Seasons | 1264 | 147 | 286 | 56 | 24 | .248 | .307 | .442 | .749 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
61
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.318 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.306 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.311 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.286
0.298
0.311
0.325
0.337
wOBA
0.294
0.311
0.330
0.349
0.366
ISO
0.156
0.170
0.186
0.202
0.216
K%
21.1%
22.5%
24.0%
25.6%
26.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.2%
87
Exit velocity89.0
61
Hard-hit%40.2%
55
xBA0.318
46
xSLG0.560
67
xwOBA0.306
49
BB%9.0%
53
+18 vs proj
Bat speed71.9
79
K%26.2%
30
-24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
61
Arm Strength83.2 · 3B
26
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 3B
18
Range Runs-3.5 · 3B
18
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · 1B
67
Sprint Speed27.7 · 1B
58
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.4% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3% · rebadged research
48
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · borderline
17
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
61
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.250 · validated thin sample
97
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.362 · insufficient sample
8
Resists FastballwOBA 0.306 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.328 · validated
96
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
38
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
111 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.023 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Lewis’s wOBA sits at 0.330, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.024, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 279 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adames, Willy SF · R | 0.74 | Sprint speedHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Bell, Josh MIN · L | 0.74 | Max exit velocityIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.72 | Pull rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Soler, Jorge LAA · R | 0.72 | Max exit velocitySwing length | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-06-22 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.308 xwOBA | 18 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-09 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-08 vs DET0 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | BB, 2 RBI, SB |
| 2026-04-07 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-06 vs DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 2 BB, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-04 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 1 E | 0-3 | BB, K |