Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 216 lb |
| Debut | 2018-05-22 |
Player profile / San Francisco Giants
Willy Adames
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 216 lb · Age 30
Club San Francisco Giants
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 688 | 93 | 153 | 32 | 21 | .251 | .331 | .462 | .793 |
| 2025 | 686 | 94 | 133 | 30 | 12 | .225 | .318 | .421 | .739 |
| 2026 | 384 | 45 | 82 | 15 | 2 | .230 | .281 | .420 | .701 |
| 9 Seasons | 4680 | 606 | 1015 | 195 | 65 | .243 | .318 | .439 | .757 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
54
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.328 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.293 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.306 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.281
0.293
0.306
0.319
0.330
wOBA
0.291
0.305
0.321
0.337
0.351
ISO
0.162
0.176
0.192
0.207
0.221
K%
24.9%
26.1%
27.5%
28.8%
30.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
63
-16 vs proj
Exit velocity88.5
54
Hard-hit%40.3%
56
xBA0.318
46
xSLG0.563
68
xwOBA0.293
35
-40 vs proj
BB%6.6%
26
-48 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
63
K%28.0%
23
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
79
Arm Strength88.2 · SS
66
Outs Above Avg-11.0 · SS
1
Range Runs-8.5 · SS
1
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.1 · SS
5
Sprint Speed27.7 · SS
58
SB Success Rate50.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.6% · rebadged research
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions66.6% · rebadged research
54
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
80
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
36
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.351 · insufficient sample
14
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
185 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.042 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.014 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Adames’s wOBA sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.293 — a gap of 0.028, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 396 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis, Royce MIN · R | 0.74 | Sprint speedHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.72 | Bat speedPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Rushing, Dalton LAD · L | 0.67 | Bat speedGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Bell, Josh MIN · L | 0.66 | Bat speedIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-04-07 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.335 xwOBA | 26 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 @ WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2B, 2 R |
| 2026-04-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 4 K |
| 2026-04-14 @ CIN1 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-12 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B |