Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / ATH
Tyler Soderstrom
Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 200 lb · Age 24
Club ATH
Position --
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 213 | 18 | 44 | 9 | 0 | .233 | .315 | .429 | .744 |
| 2025 | 624 | 75 | 155 | 25 | 8 | .276 | .346 | .474 | .820 |
| 2026 | 347 | 43 | 72 | 14 | 1 | .241 | .343 | .465 | .808 |
| 4 Seasons | 1322 | 145 | 291 | 51 | 9 | .248 | .328 | .440 | .768 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.340 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.343 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.342 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.318
0.330
0.342
0.355
0.366
wOBA
0.346
0.362
0.379
0.396
0.412
ISO
0.182
0.196
0.211
0.226
0.240
K%
16.8%
18.0%
19.3%
20.6%
21.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
78
Exit velocity90.2
76
Hard-hit%45.3%
77
xBA0.323
52
xSLG0.542
61
xwOBA0.343
81
BB%12.8%
88
+34 vs proj
Bat speed72.6
84
K%17.5%
77
+24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.3 · LF
89
Arm Strength96.0 · LF
73
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · LF
2
Range Runs-4.3 · LF
9
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · LF
30
Sprint Speed27.2 · LF
44
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.7% · rebadged research
66
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.3% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions70.2% · rebadged research
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.325 · borderline
3
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
75
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
75
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
24
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.328 · validated
96
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
188 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.049 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Soderstrom’s wOBA sits at 0.379, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.343 — a gap of 0.036, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 360 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.78 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Sheets, Gavin SD · L | 0.77 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Christian HOU · R | 0.71 | Fly-ball rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L | 0.68 | Pull rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-05-03 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.330 xwOBA | 20 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ LAA0 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2 K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-20 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs TEX0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 2B, 2 BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB |