Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2025-04-18 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Luke Keaschall
2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 190 lb · Age 23
Club Minnesota Twins
Position 2B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 207 | 25 | 55 | 4 | 14 | .302 | .382 | .445 | .827 |
| 2026 | 355 | 48 | 79 | 4 | 12 | .258 | .346 | .350 | .696 |
| 2 Seasons | 562 | 73 | 134 | 8 | 26 | .275 | .359 | .385 | .744 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
21
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.338 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.299 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.314 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.293
0.303
0.314
0.324
0.334
wOBA
0.327
0.342
0.358
0.375
0.390
ISO
0.122
0.133
0.145
0.157
0.168
K%
13.1%
14.2%
15.4%
16.7%
17.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
17
-22 vs proj
Exit velocity84.9
16
Hard-hit%31.4%
19
xBA0.284
16
xSLG0.411
15
xwOBA0.299
43
BB%9.1%
55
+21 vs proj
Bat speed66.9
19
K%14.4%
88
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · 2B
9
Arm Strength92.3 · 2B
85
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · 2B
3
Range Runs-4.9 · 2B
10
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.6 · 2B
96
Bolts1.0 · 2B
15
SB Success Rate84.6% · 2B
64
Sprint Speed28.8 · 2B
88
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.4% · rebadged research
85
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions68.8% · rebadged research
76
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
84
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
86
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
25
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
94
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
204 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.052 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Keaschall’s wOBA sits at 0.358, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.299 — a gap of 0.059, -2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 375 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edwards, Xavier MIA · L | 0.76 | Chase rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| McKinstry, Zach DET · L | 0.70 | Bat speedWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Hoerner, Nico CHC · R | 0.68 | Bat speedWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Antonacci, Sam CWS · L | 0.63 | Sweet-spot rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-07-01 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.306 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 2 E | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-14 vs BOS0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | RBI |
| 2026-04-13 vs BOS0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, BB, K |