Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
SEA 23:14 UTC Ingest OK

Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-06-13 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-06-13
0 activated plays
Gap rows 291
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Older: 2026-06-12

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-06-12 2026-06-11 2026-06-10 2026-06-09 2026-06-08 2026-06-07 2026-06-06

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Tj Friedl

Strong

CIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka

Value Score 51.9
Odds / Gap +655 / +9.95%
1+ HR 23.2%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.149x

Value Rank #2

Elly De La Cruz

Strong

CIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka

Value Score 49.1
Odds / Gap +540 / +8.50%
1+ HR 24.1%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.149x

Value Rank #3

Freddie Freeman

Strong

LAD vs CWS | Sean Burke

Value Score 48.2
Odds / Gap +495 / +7.35%
1+ HR 24.2%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.151x

Value Rank #4

Cj Abrams

Strong

WSH vs SEA | Luis Castillo

Value Score 45.3
Odds / Gap +590 / +8.61%
1+ HR 23.1%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.125x

Value Rank #5

Jarren Duran

Strong

BOS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom

Value Score 44.2
Odds / Gap +715 / +9.11%
1+ HR 21.4%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.081x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +9.95%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+9.95%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+9.95%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+9.87%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.1
Jarren Duran headshot

Jarren Duran
BOS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +9.11%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +715 / U -1045
+9.11%
11.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +715 / U -1110
+9.11%
11.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +715 / U --
+9.11%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs SEA | Luis Castillo | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +8.61%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +590 / U -850
+8.61%
13.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +585 / U -800
+8.50%
14.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
+8.50%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +8.54%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
+8.54%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +695 / U -1065
+8.54%
12.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
+8.46%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +8.50%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 24.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+8.50%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+8.37%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+8.25%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs SEA | Luis Castillo | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +8.45%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1150
+8.45%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+8.38%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+8.38%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Adley Rutschman headshot

Adley Rutschman
BAL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.98%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1030
+7.98%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +710 / U -1095
+7.98%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
+7.91%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.84%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +890 / U -1410
+7.84%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +875 / U -1495
+7.68%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +875 / U --
+7.68%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Luis García Jr. headshot

Luis García Jr.
WSH vs SEA | Luis Castillo | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +7.84%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +675 / U -965
+7.84%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +675 / U -1025
+7.84%
12.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+7.75%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs SEA | Luis Castillo | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.57%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +880 / U -1395
+7.57%
9.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+7.46%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +865 / U -1475
+7.41%
10.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.7
Andrew Benintendi headshot

Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +7.44%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -900
+7.44%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+7.44%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +640 / U --
+7.44%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +7.35%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 24.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+7.35%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+7.21%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -640
+7.07%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +6.98%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+6.98%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+6.98%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+6.88%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.86%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +735 / U -1080
+6.86%
11.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +730 / U -1145
+6.79%
11.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +730 / U --
+6.79%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brice Turang headshot

Brice Turang
MIL vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +865 / U -1360
+6.80%
10.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +855 / U --
+6.69%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +850 / U -1435
+6.63%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+6.77%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+6.68%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+6.68%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+6.59%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+6.51%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+6.51%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.44%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+6.44%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+6.36%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+6.36%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Roman Anthony headshot

Roman Anthony
BOS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.42%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1010
+6.42%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1070
+6.42%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+6.34%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
William Contreras headshot

William Contreras
MIL vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.36%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+6.36%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+6.36%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+6.36%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +740 / U -1085
+6.26%
11.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +735 / U -1155
+6.18%
11.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +735 / U --
+6.18%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.10%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -880
+6.10%
13.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +600 / U -830
+5.99%
13.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+5.99%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.00%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+6.00%
15.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+5.87%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -690
+5.74%
15.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Aaron Judge headshot

Aaron Judge
NYY vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.59%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+5.59%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+3.88%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-8.41%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Wyatt Langford headshot

Wyatt Langford
TEX vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.57%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -775
+5.57%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
+5.45%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+5.45%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs HOU | Mike Burrows | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.22%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +920 / U -1485
+5.22%
9.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +905 / U --
+5.07%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +900 / U -1570
+5.02%
9.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.19%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1590
+5.19%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
+5.05%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1680
+5.00%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 106.5
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.85%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +965 / U -1605
+4.85%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +950 / U --
+4.72%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +945 / U -1695
+4.67%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.2
Christian Yelich headshot

Christian Yelich
MIL vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -665
+4.73%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+4.58%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+4.58%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+4.73%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -810
+4.63%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+4.63%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cody Bellinger headshot

Cody Bellinger
NYY vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.60%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+4.60%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+4.44%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+4.28%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.4
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs SEA | Luis Castillo | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +4.48%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+4.48%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+4.18%
16.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +475 / U --
+4.18%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ryan Jeffers headshot

Ryan Jeffers
MIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.41%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +675 / U -965
+4.41%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +675 / U -1025
+4.41%
12.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +675 / U --
+4.41%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Junior Caminero headshot

Junior Caminero
TB vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.38%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 14.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+4.38%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
+3.39%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-7.67%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.33%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+4.33%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+4.15%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+3.97%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Gunnar Henderson headshot

Gunnar Henderson
BAL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +4.22%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+4.22%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+3.89%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+3.89%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.07%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+4.07%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+3.93%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+3.93%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.05%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+4.05%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+3.96%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+3.96%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Jung headshot

Josh Jung
TEX vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +4.04%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +665 / U -945
+4.04%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +665 / U -1005
+4.04%
12.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +665 / U --
+4.04%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+3.92%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+3.81%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+3.81%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.89%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +280 / U -340
+3.89%
25.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +295 / U -365
+2.67%
24.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +285 / U --
-7.13%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
José Tena headshot

José Tena
WSH vs SEA | Luis Castillo | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.86%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 11.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+3.86%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+3.86%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+3.86%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Willson Contreras headshot

Willson Contreras
BOS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -750
+3.77%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -705
+3.65%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+3.65%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs HOU | Mike Burrows | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.67%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+3.67%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+3.67%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+3.67%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+3.66%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+3.52%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+3.52%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.61%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+3.61%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+3.44%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+3.27%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.56%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -720
+3.56%
15.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +510 / U -675
+3.43%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+3.43%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.5
Brandon Nimmo headshot

Brandon Nimmo
TEX vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.50%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -770
+3.50%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -720
+3.38%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+3.38%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.42%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +785 / U -1180
+3.42%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1250
+3.29%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+3.29%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.0
Yainer Diaz headshot

Yainer Diaz
HOU vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +3.24%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+3.24%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -910
+3.24%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +615 / U --
+3.14%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Edgar Quero headshot

Edgar Quero
CWS vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.09%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 11.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+3.09%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+3.09%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+3.09%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.3
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.08%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+3.08%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+2.92%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+2.76%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.07%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+3.07%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+2.76%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.76%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jahmai Jones headshot

Jahmai Jones
DET vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.07%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -885
+3.07%
13.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +600 / U -830
+2.96%
13.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+2.96%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Torkelson headshot

Spencer Torkelson
DET vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.06%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+3.06%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+2.75%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.75%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs HOU | Mike Burrows | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +2.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+2.97%
16.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -600
+2.81%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.81%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs HOU | Mike Burrows | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.89%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+2.89%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+2.58%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.58%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wilyer Abreu headshot

Wilyer Abreu
BOS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.78%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+2.78%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+2.65%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+2.65%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.68%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+2.68%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+2.55%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+2.55%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +2.56%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 24.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+2.56%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+0.85%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-5.38%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+2.52%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+2.33%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
+2.14%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+2.48%
15.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -650
+2.20%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +495 / U --
+2.20%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.42%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -700
+2.42%
15.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +500 / U -655
+2.28%
16.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+2.28%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan Aranda headshot

Jonathan Aranda
TB vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+2.37%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -980
+2.37%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+2.29%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jung Hoo Lee headshot

Jung Hoo Lee
SF vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +2.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+2.25%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+2.25%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+2.25%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.2
Riley Greene headshot

Riley Greene
DET vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.07%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+2.07%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+1.77%
16.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +475 / U --
+1.77%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Taylor Ward headshot

Taylor Ward
BAL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.06%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+2.06%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+1.90%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.90%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yandy Díaz headshot

Yandy Díaz
TB vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.06%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+2.06%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+1.94%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+1.94%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.04%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+2.04%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+1.89%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+1.73%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Chandler Simpson headshot

Chandler Simpson
TB vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.86%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 2.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.86%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.36%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-5.36%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.8
Ben Rice headshot

Ben Rice
NYY vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.76%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -730
+1.76%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
+1.63%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+1.63%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Steven Kwan headshot

Steven Kwan
CLE vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.72%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1060 / U -1850
+1.72%
8.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1035 / U --
+1.53%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +1025 / U -1950
+1.45%
8.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 104.3
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.71%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +275 / U -330
+1.71%
25.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +285 / U -355
+0.43%
25.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +280 / U --
-4.77%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.59%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -580
+1.59%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
+1.41%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +425 / U -540
+1.23%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cedric Mullins headshot

Cedric Mullins
TB vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -835
+1.46%
13.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +605 / U -885
+1.46%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+1.46%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.7
Jazz Chisholm Jr. headshot

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYY vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+1.44%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+1.08%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
+1.08%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.36%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.36%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.36%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+1.36%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.3
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+1.26%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+0.95%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+0.95%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.21%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+1.21%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
+0.75%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
+0.51%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Max Muncy headshot

Max Muncy
LAD vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.15%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -565
+1.15%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
+0.97%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
+0.78%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Mark Vientos headshot

Mark Vientos
NYM vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.05%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +500 / U -685
+1.05%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -645
+0.77%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.77%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs HOU | Mike Burrows | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+1.03%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.87%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+0.71%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Giancarlo Stanton headshot

Giancarlo Stanton
NYY vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -430
+1.00%
21.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -460
-0.01%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
-4.35%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
José Ramírez headshot

José Ramírez
CLE vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.97%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
+0.97%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
+0.76%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
+0.55%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Colson Montgomery headshot

Colson Montgomery
CWS vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.82%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +325 / U -400
+0.82%
22.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +335 / U -430
-0.31%
22.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +330 / U --
-4.08%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Chase Meidroth headshot

Chase Meidroth
CWS vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.67%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.67%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.67%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.67%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.1
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.67%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -700
+0.67%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+0.53%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+0.39%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
+0.37%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
+0.16%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.06%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +325 / U -395
+0.03%
22.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +335 / U -425
-1.12%
22.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +330 / U --
-3.09%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -450
-0.12%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
-0.37%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +340 / U -420
-0.63%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler O'Neill headshot

Tyler O'Neill
BAL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.17%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-0.17%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.48%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.48%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.28%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-0.28%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-1.27%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-3.01%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corey Seager headshot

Corey Seager
TEX vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.88%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-0.88%
21.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-1.84%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-2.51%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Pete Alonso headshot

Pete Alonso
BAL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +330 / U -410
-1.08%
22.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +345 / U -440
-1.78%
21.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +335 / U --
-2.30%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Burger headshot

Jake Burger
TEX vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.24%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +400 / U -525
-1.24%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +390 / U -490
-1.65%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
-1.65%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-1.26%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-1.50%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-1.74%
21.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +405 / U -530
-1.39%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +395 / U -495
-1.60%
19.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
-1.79%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 390
Latest Date 2026-06-13
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-06-13
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 291 matched
0 unmatched
 36 / 53 / 87
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
TJ Friedl | 51.9
 --
Signals --
2026-06-12
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 249 matched
0 unmatched
 24 / 76 / 48
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 48.3
 --
Signals --
2026-06-11
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 180 matched
0 unmatched
 30 / 38 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Bo Bichette | 51.8
 --
Signals --
2026-06-10
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 243 matched
0 unmatched
 21 / 37 / 81
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Ezequiel Tovar | 47.9
 --
Signals --
2026-06-09
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 318 matched
0 unmatched
 21 / 64 / 81
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Bryan Reynolds | 42.1
 --
Signals --
2026-06-08
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 180 matched
0 unmatched
 7 / 17 / 44
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Adley Rutschman | 34.3
 --
Signals --
2026-06-07
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 324 matched
0 unmatched
 22 / 74 / 72
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
William Contreras | 53.5
 --
Signals --
2026-06-06
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 285 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 70 / 60
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Jarren Duran | 48.2
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356
Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821
Over Hit Rate 15.9%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%