Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

HR Gaps JSON

Current slate 2025-09-08

0 activated plays

Gap rows 318

Unique hitters 0

Avg gap --

Avg odds --

Newer: 2025-09-09 Older: 2025-09-07

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0

Average Gap --

Unique Hitters 0

Average Odds --

2026-06-19 2026-06-18 2026-06-17 2026-06-16 2026-06-15 2026-06-14 2026-06-13 2026-06-12

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Juan Soto

Play

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola

Value Score 71.8

Odds / Gap +315 / +6.45%

1+ HR 30.6%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.057x

Value Rank #2

Ronald Acuña Jr.

Play

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga

Value Score 59.1

Odds / Gap +380 / +5.66%

1+ HR 26.5%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.009x

Value Rank #3

Jorge Polanco

Play

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola

Value Score 36.7

Odds / Gap +455 / +4.73%

1+ HR 22.8%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.057x

Value Rank #4

Austin Riley

Play

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga

Value Score 35.9

Odds / Gap +460 / +4.73%

1+ HR 22.6%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.009x

Value Rank #5

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Play

SD vs CIN | Nick Lodolo

Value Score 35.7

Odds / Gap +460 / +4.71%

1+ HR 22.6%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 0.955x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Juan Soto

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.45%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 30.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +315 / U -400

+6.45%

23.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +310 / U --

+6.16%

DraftKings

0.5

O +305 / U -375

+5.86%

23.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Ronald Acuña Jr.

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +5.66%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 26.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +380 / U -495

+5.66%

20.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +375 / U --

+5.44%

DraftKings

0.5

O +370 / U -460

+5.21%

20.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Austin Riley

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +4.73%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -620

+4.73%

17.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+4.57%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -580

+4.41%

17.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Jorge Polanco

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +4.73%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -615

+4.73%

17.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

+4.57%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -575

+4.40%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Fernando Tatis Jr.

SD vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +4.71%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -620

+4.71%

17.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+4.55%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -580

+4.39%

17.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Joc Pederson

TEX vs MIL | Jose Quintana | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +4.23%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +505 / U -700

+4.23%

15.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +500 / U -655

+4.09%

16.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +500 / U --

+4.09%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Salvador Perez

KC vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.73%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -585

+3.73%

17.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -545

+3.38%

18.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +430 / U --

+3.38%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Jj Bleday

CIN vs SD | Yu Darvish | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.64%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +580 / U -835

+3.64%

14.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +575 / U -785

+3.54%

14.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +575 / U --

+3.54%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Bobby Witt Jr.

KC vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.58%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +450 / U -605

+3.58%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +440 / U -565

+3.24%

17.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +440 / U --

+3.24%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Alec Burleson

STL vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.47%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +580 / U -835

+3.47%

14.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +575 / U -785

+3.37%

14.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +575 / U --

+3.37%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 108.0

Ozzie Albies

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.47%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +610 / U -890

+3.47%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +605 / U -835

+3.37%

13.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +605 / U --

+3.37%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Michael Harris II

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 8

Lean

Best Gap +2.78%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -950

+2.78%

13.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +635 / U -890

+2.68%

13.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +635 / U --

+2.68%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Lars Nootbaar

STL vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.65%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +735 / U -1075

+2.65%

11.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +730 / U -1140

+2.58%

11.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +730 / U --

+2.58%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 108.0

Luis Robert Jr.

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 9

Lean

Best Gap +2.62%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -740

+2.62%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+2.49%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -695

+2.36%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Ketel Marte

AZ vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +2.32%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -435

+2.32%

21.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +365 / U -470

+1.17%

20.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

-5.61%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 93.5

Ramón Laureano

SD vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +2.12%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +500 / U -690

+2.12%

16.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +495 / U --

+1.98%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -645

+1.84%

16.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Vinnie Pasquantino

KC vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.70%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -620

+1.70%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -580

+1.38%

17.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

+1.38%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Lane Thomas

KC vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.38%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -810

+1.38%

14.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+1.27%

DraftKings

0.5

O +560 / U -760

+1.16%

14.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Corey Seager

TEX vs MIL | Jose Quintana | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.36%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 24.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +335 / U -430

+1.36%

22.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +330 / U --

+1.09%

DraftKings

0.5

O +325 / U -400

+0.82%

22.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Sean Murphy

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap +0.63%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +490 / U -670

+0.63%

16.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +485 / U --

+0.49%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -630

+0.34%

16.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Isaac Collins

KC vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.49%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 10.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +865 / U -1350

+0.49%

10.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +850 / U -1430

+0.32%

10.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +850 / U --

+0.32%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Yoán Moncada

LAA vs MIN | Simeon Woods Richardson | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +0.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+0.27%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -765

+0.16%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+0.16%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

AZ vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.24%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -715

+0.24%

15.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +540 / U -760

-0.40%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

-3.72%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.4

Mark Vientos

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +0.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -610

+0.23%

17.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

+0.07%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -575

-0.10%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 103.0

Brett Baty

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 8

No Play

Best Gap +0.21%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +620 / U -910

+0.21%

13.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +615 / U -860

+0.11%

13.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +615 / U --

+0.11%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.5

Shea Langeliers

ATH vs BOS | Garrett Crochet | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.12%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +345 / U -440

+0.12%

21.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +335 / U --

-0.40%

DraftKings

0.5

O +330 / U -410

-0.67%

22.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.6

Carlos Santana

AZ vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.06%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -775

-0.06%

14.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +575 / U -825

-0.68%

14.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +570 / U --

-3.44%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 97.7

Francisco Lindor

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.13%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -550

-0.13%

18.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +410 / U --

-0.32%

DraftKings

0.5

O +405 / U -515

-0.51%

19.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 97.3

Adrian Del Castillo

AZ vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -0.16%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +590 / U -810

-0.16%

14.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +595 / U -865

-0.79%

13.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +590 / U --

-3.34%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 98.2

Jonathan India

KC vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -0.16%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 10.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +860 / U -1345

-0.16%

10.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +850 / U --

-0.27%

FanDuel

0.5

O +845 / U -1425

-0.32%

10.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Pavin Smith

AZ vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -0.16%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +575 / U -785

-0.16%

14.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +580 / U -835

-0.76%

14.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +575 / U --

-3.35%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 98.2

Starling Marte

KC vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -0.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +925 / U -1500

-0.23%

9.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +910 / U --

-0.37%

FanDuel

0.5

O +905 / U -1585

-0.42%

9.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Drake Baldwin

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -620

-0.27%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -580

-0.59%

17.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

-0.59%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Brent Rooker

ATH vs BOS | Garrett Crochet | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.29%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +345 / U -445

-0.29%

21.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +340 / U --

-0.55%

DraftKings

0.5

O +335 / U -415

-0.81%

22.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.7

Julio Rodríguez

SEA vs STL | Miles Mikolas | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.36%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -550

-0.36%

18.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +440 / U -585

-1.14%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +430 / U --

-3.13%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 100.6

Michael Busch

CHC vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.36%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +400 / U -520

-0.36%

19.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +390 / U --

-0.77%

DraftKings

0.5

O +385 / U -490

-0.98%

19.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Francisco Alvarez

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -0.42%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -665

-0.42%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -625

-0.57%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

-0.57%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.7

Zach Neto

LAA vs MIN | Simeon Woods Richardson | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.42%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +445 / U -595

-0.42%

17.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +440 / U --

-0.59%

DraftKings

0.5

O +435 / U -560

-0.76%

18.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Hunter Goodman

COL vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.47%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +360 / U -450

-0.47%

21.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +370 / U -480

-1.41%

20.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +365 / U --

-2.86%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Mike Yastrzemski

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -0.53%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +565 / U -805

-0.53%

14.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +560 / U -755

-0.64%

14.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +560 / U --

-0.64%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Marcus Semien

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.58%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 13.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +600 / U -870

-0.58%

13.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +595 / U -820

-0.68%

13.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +595 / U --

-0.68%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.5

Bo Bichette

NYM vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.60%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -960

-0.60%

12.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1020

-0.60%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

-0.60%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Jacob Wilson

ATH vs BOS | Garrett Crochet | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -0.66%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +885 / U -1405

-0.66%

9.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +875 / U --

-0.77%

FanDuel

0.5

O +870 / U -1485

-0.82%

9.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Wyatt Langford

TEX vs MIL | Jose Quintana | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.69%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -750

-0.69%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -705

-0.81%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

-0.81%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Austin Wynns

ATH vs BOS | Garrett Crochet | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -0.70%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +720 / U -1055

-0.70%

11.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1115

-0.70%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +715 / U --

-0.77%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.6

Iván Herrera

STL vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.70%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -745

-0.70%

14.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +560 / U -790

-1.29%

14.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +550 / U --

-2.85%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 101.8

Manny Machado

SD vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.71%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -545

-0.71%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +405 / U -510

-1.09%

19.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +405 / U --

-1.09%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.4

Pete Crow-Armstrong

CHC vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 9

No Play

Best Gap -0.71%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +560 / U -800

-0.71%

14.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +555 / U -750

-0.83%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +555 / U --

-0.83%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Eugenio Suárez

CIN vs SD | Yu Darvish | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.74%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +335 / U -415

-0.74%

22.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +350 / U -445

-1.81%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +340 / U --

-2.57%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.0

Jo Adell

LAA vs MIN | Simeon Woods Richardson | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.74%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +335 / U -415

-0.74%

22.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +350 / U -445

-1.81%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +340 / U --

-2.57%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Cal Raleigh

SEA vs STL | Miles Mikolas | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.77%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 24.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +265 / U -320

-0.77%

26.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +275 / U -345

-2.09%

25.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +270 / U --

-2.45%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 100.6

Ian Happ

CHC vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.80%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +545 / U -770

-0.80%

14.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +540 / U -725

-0.92%

15.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +540 / U --

-0.92%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.1

Matt Olson

ATL vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.82%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +365 / U -470

-0.82%

20.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-1.05%

DraftKings

0.5

O +355 / U -440

-1.29%

21.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 99.4

Danny Jansen

TEX vs MIL | Jose Quintana | Slot 8

No Play

Best Gap -0.89%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +555 / U -790

-0.89%

14.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +550 / U -745

-1.00%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +550 / U --

-1.00%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.7

Rob Refsnyder

SEA vs STL | Miles Mikolas | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.90%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +555 / U -745

-0.90%

14.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +560 / U -795

-1.56%

14.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +555 / U --

-2.54%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 101.8

Josh Jung

TEX vs MIL | Jose Quintana | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -0.91%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 13.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +605 / U -835

-0.91%

13.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +605 / U -885

-0.91%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +605 / U --

-0.91%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.9

Dansby Swanson

CHC vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -0.92%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 13.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +600 / U -870

-0.92%

13.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +595 / U -820

-1.02%

13.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +595 / U --

-1.02%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.1

Randy Arozarena

SEA vs STL | Miles Mikolas | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.94%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +560 / U -755

-0.94%

14.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +565 / U -805

-1.59%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +560 / U --

-2.51%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 101.6

Mike Trout

LAA vs MIN | Simeon Woods Richardson | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.95%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +365 / U -455

-0.95%

20.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +375 / U -485

-1.88%

20.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +370 / U --

-2.31%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Elly De La Cruz

CIN vs SD | Yu Darvish | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.98%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -750

-0.98%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -705

-1.10%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

-1.10%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Dylan Crews

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -0.99%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +710 / U -1035

-0.99%

11.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +710 / U -1095

-1.43%

11.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +705 / U --

-2.62%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Jorge Soler

LAA vs MIN | Simeon Woods Richardson | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.00%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +420 / U -535

-1.00%

18.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +430 / U -570

-1.82%

18.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-2.48%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.8

Nick Kurtz

ATH vs BOS | Garrett Crochet | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.05%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 26.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +265 / U -325

-1.05%

26.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +250 / U -300

-1.35%

27.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +255 / U --

-1.82%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Nolan Schanuel

LAA vs MIN | Simeon Woods Richardson | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -1.06%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +960 / U -1585

-1.06%

9.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +945 / U --

-1.20%

FanDuel

0.5

O +940 / U -1675

-1.25%

9.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Tj Friedl

CIN vs SD | Yu Darvish | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.07%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +630 / U -930

-1.07%

13.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +625 / U -875

-1.16%

13.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +625 / U --

-1.16%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Geraldo Perdomo

AZ vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.08%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 7.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +900 / U -1435

-1.08%

9.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +880 / U -1515

-1.40%

9.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +885 / U --

-2.56%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 98.4

Jackson Merrill

SD vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.11%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -650

-1.11%

16.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +500 / U -695

-1.86%

16.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +495 / U --

-2.37%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Logan O'Hoppe

LAA vs MIN | Simeon Woods Richardson | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -1.11%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +435 / U -560

-1.11%

18.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +445 / U -600

-1.97%

17.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +440 / U --

-2.26%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

James Wood

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.13%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -595

-1.13%

17.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +465 / U -635

-1.91%

17.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +460 / U --

-2.34%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Jordan Walker

STL vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -1.13%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +815 / U -1245

-1.13%

10.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +805 / U -1320

-1.25%

10.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +805 / U --

-1.25%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 108.0

Seiya Suzuki

CHC vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.14%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +435 / U -555

-1.14%

18.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +440 / U -595

-2.02%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

-2.28%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 99.6

Ezequiel Tovar

COL vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.15%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +625 / U -870

-1.15%

13.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +625 / U -925

-1.70%

13.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +625 / U --

-2.33%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.2

Will Benson

CIN vs SD | Yu Darvish | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -1.15%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -755

-1.15%

15.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -705

-1.27%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

-1.27%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.7

Corbin Carroll

AZ vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.16%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +445 / U -595

-1.16%

17.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +435 / U -555

-1.50%

18.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

-1.50%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Ramón Urías

STL vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -1.16%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +745 / U -1100

-1.16%

11.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +740 / U -1165

-1.58%

11.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +740 / U --

-2.41%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 101.8

Brenton Doyle

COL vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -1.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +625 / U -870

-1.18%

13.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +625 / U -925

-1.73%

13.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +625 / U --

-2.30%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.3

Miguel Andujar

SD vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -1.24%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +840 / U -1305

-1.24%

10.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +830 / U -1380

-1.35%

10.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +830 / U --

-1.35%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Nolan Gorman

STL vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.24%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +400 / U -505

-1.24%

19.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +410 / U -540

-1.84%

18.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +405 / U --

-2.03%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 102.3

Cj Abrams

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +580 / U -790

-1.27%

14.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +585 / U -840

-1.87%

14.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +580 / U --

-2.20%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.9

Lawrence Butler

ATH vs BOS | Garrett Crochet | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.32%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

-1.32%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

-1.46%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -640

-1.60%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Jake Burger

TEX vs MIL | Jose Quintana | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.34%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +365 / U -455

-1.34%

20.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +375 / U -485

-1.69%

20.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +370 / U --

-1.92%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 96.9

Tyler Soderstrom

ATH vs BOS | Garrett Crochet | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -1.34%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

-1.34%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

-1.47%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

-1.47%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Zack Gelof

ATH vs BOS | Garrett Crochet | Slot 9

No Play

Best Gap -1.36%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +625 / U -870

-1.36%

13.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +625 / U -925

-1.36%

13.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +620 / U --

-1.46%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 97.5

Spencer Steer

CIN vs SD | Yu Darvish | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.37%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 13.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +560 / U -755

-1.37%

14.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +565 / U -805

-1.97%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +560 / U --

-2.08%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.3

Travis D'Arnaud

LAA vs MIN | Simeon Woods Richardson | Slot 8

No Play

Best Gap -1.37%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +585 / U -805

-1.37%

14.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +590 / U -855

-1.95%

13.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +585 / U --

-2.18%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.7

Mickey Moniak

COL vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.39%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -570

-1.39%

18.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -530

-1.61%

18.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-1.75%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Willi Castro

COL vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.42%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +790 / U -1190

-1.42%

10.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +780 / U -1260

-1.54%

10.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +780 / U --

-1.54%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.5

Tyler Stephenson

CIN vs SD | Yu Darvish | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -1.44%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +565 / U -770

-1.44%

14.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +570 / U -815

-2.00%

14.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

-2.11%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.7

Brendan Donovan

SEA vs STL | Miles Mikolas | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -1.48%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +850 / U -1320

-1.48%

10.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +840 / U --

-1.59%

FanDuel

0.5

O +835 / U -1400

-1.65%

10.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 101.8

Luis García Jr.

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.48%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +635 / U -885

-1.48%

13.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +635 / U -940

-1.98%

13.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +630 / U --

-2.07%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Jordan Beck

COL vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -1.49%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +780 / U -1170

-1.49%

11.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +770 / U -1240

-1.90%

11.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +770 / U --

-2.13%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Brandon Nimmo

TEX vs MIL | Jose Quintana | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.50%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +510 / U -705

-1.50%

15.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +500 / U -660

-1.73%

16.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +500 / U --

-1.78%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Nico Hoerner

CHC vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.52%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 6.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-1.52%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-1.98%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-1.98%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 104.9

Dominic Canzone

SEA vs STL | Miles Mikolas | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -1.53%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +515 / U -685

-1.53%

15.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +525 / U -730

-1.73%

15.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

-1.86%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 101.1

Evan Carter

TEX vs MIL | Jose Quintana | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -1.53%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +680 / U -970

-1.53%

12.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1030

-1.53%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +675 / U --

-1.61%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Daylen Lile

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.56%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 10.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +695 / U -1000

-1.56%

12.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +695 / U -1065

-1.93%

12.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +690 / U --

-2.01%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Carson Kelly

CHC vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -1.58%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +630 / U -880

-1.58%

13.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +630 / U -935

-1.58%

13.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +630 / U --

-1.58%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Josh Naylor

SEA vs STL | Miles Mikolas | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.60%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +480 / U -625

-1.60%

16.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +485 / U -665

-1.70%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

-1.85%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 101.8

Edouard Julien

COL vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -1.61%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +690 / U -990

-1.61%

12.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +685 / U -1050

-1.69%

12.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +685 / U --

-1.69%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.4

Jake Cronenworth

SD vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap -1.61%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +865 / U -1360

-1.61%

10.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +850 / U -1435

-1.95%

10.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +855 / U --

-2.01%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.3

Luke Raley

SEA vs STL | Miles Mikolas | Slot 8

No Play

Best Gap -1.62%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 13.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -725

-1.62%

15.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +545 / U -770

-1.76%

14.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +540 / U --

-1.88%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 101.0

José Tena

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -1.64%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 6.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-1.64%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1145 / U --

-1.67%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1130 / U -2315

-1.77%

7.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Nick Castellanos

SD vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.67%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 13.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -725

-1.67%

15.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +545 / U -770

-1.71%

14.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +540 / U --

-1.83%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 99.4

Alex Bregman

CHC vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -1.68%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -700

-1.68%

15.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +530 / U -745

-1.69%

15.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

-1.82%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.8

Keibert Ruiz

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -1.70%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +805 / U -1220

-1.70%

10.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +795 / U -1295

-1.89%

10.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +795 / U --

-1.89%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8

Victor Scott II

STL vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.73%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 6.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-1.73%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-1.73%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-1.73%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 101.8

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 396

Latest Date 2026-06-19

Latest Signals 5

Date	Rows	Recommendations	Signals	Grading
2026-06-19 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	294 matched 0 unmatched	0 / 45 / 85 Strong / Play / Lean	5 William Contreras \| 30.8	-- Signals --
2026-06-18 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	195 matched 0 unmatched	27 / 43 / 45 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Trea Turner \| 52.3	-- Signals --
2026-06-17 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	225 matched 0 unmatched	27 / 79 / 46 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Bo Bichette \| 55.2	-- Signals --
2026-06-16 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	336 matched 0 unmatched	2 / 71 / 92 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Brandon Nimmo \| 38.7	-- Signals --
2026-06-15 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	168 matched 0 unmatched	27 / 29 / 36 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 39.6	-- Signals --
2026-06-14 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	390 matched 0 unmatched	53 / 83 / 83 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 55.4	-- Signals --
2026-06-13 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	291 matched 0 unmatched	36 / 53 / 87 Strong / Play / Lean	5 TJ Friedl \| 51.9	-- Signals --
2026-06-12 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	249 matched 0 unmatched	24 / 76 / 48 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 48.3	-- Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356

Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821

Over Hit Rate 15.9%

Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%