Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 6" |
| Weight | 250 lb |
| Debut | 2023-03-30 |
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals
Jordan Walker
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 6", 250 lb · Age 24
Club St. Louis Cardinals
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 178 | 16 | 33 | 5 | 1 | .201 | .253 | .366 | .619 |
| 2025 | 396 | 40 | 78 | 6 | 10 | .215 | .278 | .306 | .584 |
| 2026 | 659 | 95 | 163 | 29 | 21 | .271 | .329 | .471 | .800 |
| 4 Seasons | 1698 | 202 | 390 | 56 | 39 | .252 | .313 | .414 | .727 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
93
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.298 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.341 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.331 |
| Observed weight | 75% |
xwOBA
0.309
0.319
0.331
0.342
0.352
wOBA
0.342
0.354
0.366
0.379
0.390
ISO
0.165
0.175
0.186
0.197
0.207
K%
24.4%
25.4%
26.5%
27.6%
28.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.9%
95
+26 vs proj
Exit velocity92.8
97
Hard-hit%50.5%
95
xBA0.369
93
xSLG0.650
90
xwOBA0.341
86
+38 vs proj
BB%7.6%
38
Bat speed77.3
100
K%26.3%
31
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · RF
36
Arm Strength102.0 · RF
98
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · RF
2
Range Runs-6.7 · RF
6
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.4 · RF
83
Bolts31.0 · RF
83
SB Success Rate90.0% · RF
80
Sprint Speed29.1 · RF
91
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.8% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.8% · rebadged research
54
Correct Decisions64.4% · rebadged research
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.305 · borderline
23
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
27
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.336 · validated thin sample
1
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.365 · insufficient sample
3
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
43
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
281 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.041 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.066 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Walker’s wOBA sits at 0.366, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.341 — a gap of 0.025, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 674 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caglianone, Jac KC · L | 0.61 | Strikeout rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Adell, Jo LAA · R | 0.60 | Chase ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Smith, Cam HOU · R | 0.58 | Sprint speedStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R | 0.56 | Ground-ball rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-09-01 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 29 | 2026-09-22 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.748 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.300 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | HBP |
| 2026-04-20 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 K, 2 R |
| 2026-04-17 @ HOU0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, 2 K |