Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-20 |
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals
Nolan Gorman
3B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 225 lb · Age 26
Club St. Louis Cardinals
Position 3B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 402 | 42 | 74 | 19 | 6 | .203 | .271 | .400 | .671 |
| 2025 | 402 | 48 | 72 | 14 | 1 | .205 | .296 | .370 | .666 |
| 2026 | 302 | 26 | 49 | 9 | 0 | .184 | .272 | .308 | .580 |
| 5 Seasons | 1883 | 219 | 355 | 83 | 15 | .212 | .295 | .402 | .697 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
55
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.309 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.281 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 59% |
xwOBA
0.265
0.278
0.293
0.307
0.320
wOBA
0.246
0.262
0.279
0.296
0.311
ISO
0.121
0.135
0.150
0.165
0.179
K%
29.1%
30.5%
32.2%
33.8%
35.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
59
-23 vs proj
Exit velocity89.5
71
Hard-hit%42.6%
71
xBA0.307
36
xSLG0.559
68
xwOBA0.281
26
-33 vs proj
BB%11.5%
85
Bat speed71.7
77
K%31.4%
11
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.1 · 3B
15
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs0.2 · 3B
55
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · 3B
5
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.5% · rebadged research
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.9% · rebadged research
54
Correct Decisions65.6% · rebadged research
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
47
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
61
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.228 · validated thin sample
100
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
86
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
44
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
160 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.033 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Gorman’s wOBA sits at 0.279, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.281 — a gap of 0.003, 0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 312 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 11 | 2026-09-26 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.148 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-20 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ HOU1 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | HR, 3 K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-14 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |