Mithrandir Metrics
Player Memphis Redbirds Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Memphis Redbirds

Nolan Gorman

3B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 225 lb · Age 26

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Memphis Redbirds Position 3B Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20244024274196.203.271.400.671
20254024872141.205.296.370.666
2026229193970.194.279.318.597
5 Seasons18102123458115.215.297.407.704
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
52
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
53
Defense3 metrics
51
Speed1 metrics
7
Plate skills10 metrics
60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.309
xwOBA current pace0.278
xwOBA rolling p500.293
Observed weight52%
xwOBA
0.263 0.277 0.293 0.308 0.323
wOBA
0.249 0.267 0.286 0.306 0.324
ISO
0.120 0.136 0.153 0.170 0.185
K%
29.1% 30.7% 32.5% 34.3% 35.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
48 -32 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
65
Hard-hit%44.1%
72
xBA0.312
39
xSLG0.555
65
xwOBA0.278
22 -33 vs proj
BB%11.6%
81
Bat speed71.4
74
K%31.8%
9
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.1 · 3B
24
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 3B
68
Range Runs0.9 · 3B
60
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.2 · 3B
7
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.1% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions66.9% · rebadged research
58
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
56
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
44
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.224 · validated thin sample
100
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
75
Resists FastballwOBA 0.358 · validated
18
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347 · validated
79
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Gorman, Nolan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.278 2026-07-06: 0.2782026-07-07: 0.2782026-07-08: 0.2782026-07-09: 0.2782026-07-10: 0.2782026-07-11: 0.2782026-07-12: 0.2782026-07-13: 0.2782026-07-14: 0.2782026-07-15: 0.2782026-07-16: 0.2782026-07-17: 0.278 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

128 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Gorman, Nolan · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 57% of plotted batted ballsCenter 57%Right field third: 27% of plotted batted ballsOppo 27% LF 336 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 60.02026-03-17 · field out · ST · popup · EV 64.9 / LA 25.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 5.02026-03-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 15.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 37.02026-03-21 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 16.02026-03-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 57.02026-03-26 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA -6.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.0 / LA 17.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 62.0 / LA -18.02026-03-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.6 / LA 19.02026-03-28 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 86.8 / LA 48.02026-03-29 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.8 / LA 34.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.1 / LA -19.02026-03-30 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 110.3 / LA 39.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · popup · EV 62.4 / LA 52.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 62.4 / LA -40.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.6 / LA 6.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 40.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 86.8 / LA 23.02026-04-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 102.2 / LA 10.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 49.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.1 / LA -16.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 92.0 / LA 67.02026-04-05 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 5.02026-04-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 44.8 / LA 0.02026-04-05 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 39.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 39.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -17.02026-04-07 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 16.02026-04-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.3 / LA 23.02026-04-07 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 1.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.2 / LA -31.02026-04-11 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 85.4 / LA 25.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 42.02026-04-12 · sac fly · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 36.02026-04-13 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 79.7 / LA 15.02026-04-14 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 42.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 60.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 31.02026-04-15 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.3 / LA 53.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.3 / LA 67.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 45.02026-04-17 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 38.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 30.02026-04-18 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.7 / LA -19.02026-04-18 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 22.02026-04-18 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 15.02026-04-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.6 / LA 9.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA 7.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 20.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.5 / LA 9.02026-04-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA -9.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 51.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -1.02026-04-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.6 / LA 29.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 18.02026-04-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 37.02026-04-22 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 83.5 / LA 16.02026-04-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 111.9 / LA 20.02026-04-24 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 9.02026-04-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 93.5 / LA 22.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 44.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 57.02026-04-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 12.02026-04-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 53.7 / LA -21.02026-04-26 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.7 / LA 10.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 1.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.2 / LA 4.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 74.0 / LA 32.02026-04-28 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 43.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.9 / LA -39.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.4 / LA 54.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 62.8 / LA -55.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 71.0 / LA 52.02026-04-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.5 / LA -17.02026-04-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 9.02026-04-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 12.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 52.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 55.7 / LA -79.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 19.02026-05-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.6 / LA 26.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 31.02026-05-02 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 30.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.7 / LA 68.02026-05-04 · field out · FC · popup · EV 102.2 / LA 64.02026-05-04 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 109.6 / LA 15.02026-05-04 · field out · ST · popup · EV 74.6 / LA 86.02026-05-04 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 10.02026-05-06 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 13.02026-05-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -3.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 10.02026-05-09 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 84.0 / LA 20.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 58.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 110.8 / LA 9.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 17.02026-05-12 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.0 / LA 12.02026-05-13 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 88.6 / LA 17.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 46.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 81.8 / LA 23.02026-05-14 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 36.0 / LA -23.02026-05-14 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 104.6 / LA 19.02026-05-14 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 50.02026-05-14 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 67.1 / LA 32.02026-05-15 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 47.02026-05-15 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.4 / LA 1.02026-05-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.0 / LA 5.02026-05-17 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -8.02026-05-17 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 2.02026-05-19 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 0.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 37.02026-05-19 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.2 / LA 29.02026-05-20 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 33.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 50.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 91.6 / LA 78.02026-05-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 56.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -14.02026-05-23 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 86.4 / LA 46.02026-05-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.7 / LA -1.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · popup · EV 90.5 / LA 68.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 82.0 / LA 29.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 58.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 32.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 41.02026-05-27 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 14.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 1.02026-06-07 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 61.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA -20.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Gorman, Nolan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 31%31%Whiff: 38%38%Zone contact: 74%74%Contact: 62%62%Hard hit: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Gorman, Nolan · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 72.0 mph Hard swing rate 21% Whiff / swing 34% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 0"
Weight225 lb
Debut2022-05-20
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.033
wOBA Δ-0.025

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.3σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.286
xwOBA (deserved)0.278

Gorman’s wOBA sits at 0.286, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.278 — a gap of 0.008, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 242 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
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Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R 0.61 Oppo ratexwOBA on contact Player · Projection
Soler, Jorge LAA · R 0.58 Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rate Player · Projection
Ozuna, Marcell PIT · R 0.56 Sprint speedOppo rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.312 xwOBA | 19 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K
2026-04-20 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K
2026-04-17 @ HOU1 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-5 | HR, 3 K, 3 RBI
2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-4
2026-04-14 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1