Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 184 lb |
| Debut | 2023-09-11 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 0", 184 lb · Age 24
Club Chicago Cubs
Position CF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 410 | 46 | 88 | 10 | 27 | .237 | .286 | .384 | .670 |
| 2025 | 647 | 91 | 146 | 31 | 35 | .247 | .287 | .481 | .768 |
| 2026 | 418 | 63 | 104 | 21 | 24 | .291 | .386 | .531 | .917 |
| 4 Seasons | 1494 | 203 | 338 | 62 | 88 | .253 | .313 | .462 | .775 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
81
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.364 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.350 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.326
0.337
0.350
0.363
0.375
wOBA
0.369
0.383
0.399
0.415
0.430
ISO
0.194
0.205
0.218
0.231
0.243
K%
22.2%
23.4%
24.8%
26.1%
27.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
70
Exit velocity88.7
57
Hard-hit%48.1%
86
+27 vs proj
xBA0.373
90
xSLG0.679
91
xwOBA0.364
90
+26 vs proj
BB%11.3%
79
+60 vs proj
Bat speed72.0
79
K%25.8%
32
-19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.9 · CF
99
Arm Strength101.0 · CF
97
Outs Above Avg16.0 · CF
100
Range Runs14.6 · CF
100
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.7 · CF
93
Bolts25.0 · CF
85
SB Success Rate79.2% · CF
42
Sprint Speed29.5 · CF
96
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.1% · rebadged research
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.2% · rebadged research
76
Correct Decisions64.1% · rebadged research
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
76
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
73
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.370 · insufficient sample
5
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.390 · validated
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
178 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.044 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.079 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Crow-Armstrong’s wOBA sits at 0.399, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.364 — a gap of 0.035, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 426 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.67 | Chase rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.65 | Pull rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Harper, Bryce PHI · L | 0.64 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Lowe, Brandon PIT · L | 0.61 | Pull rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-05-24 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.321 xwOBA | 22 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 1 E | 0-3 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | K, R, CS |
| 2026-04-14 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, HBP, K |