Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / WSH
Dylan Crews
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 203 lb · Age 24
Club WSH
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 132 | 12 | 26 | 3 | 12 | .218 | .288 | .353 | .641 |
| 2025 | 322 | 43 | 61 | 10 | 17 | .208 | .280 | .352 | .632 |
| 2026 | 436 | 54 | 89 | 13 | 12 | .224 | .291 | .375 | .666 |
| 3 Seasons | 890 | 109 | 176 | 26 | 41 | .218 | .287 | .363 | .650 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.320 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.320 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
xwOBA
0.295
0.307
0.320
0.333
0.344
wOBA
0.278
0.291
0.306
0.321
0.334
ISO
0.119
0.133
0.148
0.163
0.176
K%
21.2%
22.2%
23.3%
24.5%
25.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
72
Exit velocity89.7
74
Hard-hit%42.6%
71
xBA0.328
61
xSLG0.572
73
xwOBA0.320
69
BB%6.7%
30
Bat speed71.9
79
K%24.3%
43
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
51
Arm Strength93.4 · RF
49
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs3.8 · RF
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.4 · RF
89
Bolts8.0 · RF
58
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
93
Sprint Speed29.3 · RF
93
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.2% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
65
Correct Decisions67.9% · rebadged research
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
17
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
42
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.251 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
42
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
31
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330 · validated
92
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
168 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.005 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.018 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Crews’s wOBA sits at 0.306, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.320 — a gap of 0.013, 0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 445 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley, Austin ATL · R | 0.78 | Chase rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Jarren BOS · L | 0.78 | xwOBA on contactIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Tawa, Tim AZ · R | 0.76 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R | 0.75 | Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-09-07 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 22 | 2026-09-25 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +4.605 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.325 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |