Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 203 lb |
| Debut | 2024-08-26 |
Player profile / Washington Nationals
Dylan Crews
RF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.
Club Washington Nationals
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
74
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.339 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.326 |
| Observed weight | 31% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.307
0.326
0.345
0.363
wOBA
0.220
0.247
0.277
0.307
0.334
ISO
0.093
0.118
0.145
0.173
0.198
K%
18.4%
19.9%
21.6%
23.2%
24.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
74
+17 vs proj
Exit velocity91.3
86
Hard-hit%45.2%
74
+15 vs proj
xBA0.335
64
xSLG0.595
73
xwOBA0.339
74
BB%3.0%
3
-36 vs proj
Bat speed71.9
80
K%21.8%
52
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength91.1 · RF
32
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Arm Runs-0.7 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs1.3 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts3.0 · RF
44
Sprint Speed29.4 · RF
95
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.2% · rebadged research
14
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.0% · rebadged research
33
Correct Decisions62.4% · rebadged research
17
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.315 · borderline
10
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
52
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
81
Resists FastballwOBA 0.311 · validated
93
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338 · validated
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline91
12
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
40 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.047 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Crews’s wOBA sits at 0.277, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.339 — a gap of 0.062, 1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 101 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.325 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K, R |