Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2020-08-04 |
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians
Jo Adell
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 215 lb · Age 27
Club Cleveland Guardians
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 451 | 54 | 84 | 20 | 15 | .207 | .280 | .402 | .682 |
| 2025 | 573 | 63 | 124 | 37 | 5 | .236 | .293 | .485 | .778 |
| 2026 | 651 | 67 | 142 | 22 | 4 | .239 | .296 | .397 | .693 |
| 7 Seasons | 2294 | 239 | 474 | 97 | 31 | .225 | .282 | .411 | .693 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
76
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.335 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.324 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.327 |
| Observed weight | 75% |
xwOBA
0.307
0.317
0.327
0.337
0.347
wOBA
0.300
0.311
0.323
0.336
0.346
ISO
0.152
0.161
0.171
0.182
0.191
K%
23.1%
24.1%
25.2%
26.3%
27.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
65
-24 vs proj
Exit velocity90.4
83
Hard-hit%44.7%
80
xBA0.346
81
xSLG0.594
78
xwOBA0.324
72
BB%4.9%
13
-25 vs proj
Bat speed75.3
98
K%24.9%
38
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-3.4 · RF
3
Arm Strength91.8 · RF
34
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
13
Range Runs-5.9 · RF
11
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.0 · RF
42
Sprint Speed28.3 · RF
75
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.6% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
69
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
49
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
66
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354 · validated
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.298 · insufficient sample
13
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.235 · validated thin sample
99
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
81
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
34
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.012 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Adell’s wOBA sits at 0.323, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.324 — a gap of 0.001, 0.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 671 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R | 0.88 | Avg exit velocityIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Smith, Cam HOU · R | 0.77 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Jarren BOS · L | 0.72 | Barrel rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Crews, Dylan WSH · R | 0.65 | Ground-ball rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-08-22 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 18 | 2026-09-25 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.487 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.336 xwOBA | 28 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs SD0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 2B, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-05-20 vs ATH1 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 2B, RBI |
| 2026-04-20 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 vs SD0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, 2 K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |