Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 182 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-07 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Seiya Suzuki
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 182 lb · Age 32
Club Chicago Cubs
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 585 | 74 | 145 | 21 | 16 | .283 | .366 | .482 | .848 |
| 2025 | 651 | 75 | 140 | 32 | 5 | .245 | .326 | .478 | .804 |
| 2026 | 634 | 96 | 147 | 26 | 3 | .270 | .368 | .473 | .841 |
| 5 Seasons | 2899 | 374 | 683 | 113 | 39 | .269 | .351 | .472 | .823 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.339 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.340 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.340 |
| Observed weight | 74% |
xwOBA
0.318
0.328
0.340
0.351
0.361
wOBA
0.353
0.365
0.378
0.391
0.403
ISO
0.183
0.194
0.206
0.219
0.230
K%
22.4%
23.4%
24.5%
25.6%
26.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.6%
77
Exit velocity88.6
58
Hard-hit%38.9%
53
-37 vs proj
xBA0.343
78
xSLG0.595
78
xwOBA0.340
85
BB%12.8%
91
+18 vs proj
Bat speed71.0
72
K%24.4%
41
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs3.9 · RF
95
Arm Strength99.7 · RF
90
Outs Above Avg5.0 · RF
94
Range Runs4.1 · RF
84
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-3.2 · RF
6
Sprint Speed27.9 · RF
61
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.5% · rebadged research
87
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.0% · rebadged research
24
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
59
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.302 · borderline
25
Resists FastballwOBA 0.383 · validated
6
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
70
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
74
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
58
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
58
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
11
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
249 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.032 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Suzuki’s wOBA sits at 0.378, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.340 — a gap of 0.038, -1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 634 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Langford, Wyatt TEX · R | 0.78 | Bat speedHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R | 0.78 | Swing lengthBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L | 0.74 | xwOBA on contactMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Mead, Curtis WSH · R | 0.69 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9 | 2026-08-31 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 28 | 2026-09-24 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.759 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.346 xwOBA | 27 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, R |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 vs NYM0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2B, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | BB, K, R |