Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 182 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-07 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Seiya Suzuki
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 182 lb · Age 31
Club Chicago Cubs
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 585 | 74 | 145 | 21 | 16 | .283 | .366 | .482 | .848 |
| 2025 | 651 | 75 | 140 | 32 | 5 | .245 | .326 | .478 | .804 |
| 2026 | 343 | 47 | 81 | 15 | 1 | .268 | .347 | .464 | .811 |
| 5 Seasons | 2608 | 325 | 617 | 102 | 37 | .269 | .346 | .471 | .817 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
68
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.339 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.328 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.332 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.306
0.318
0.332
0.346
0.359
wOBA
0.335
0.351
0.369
0.386
0.402
ISO
0.171
0.186
0.202
0.219
0.234
K%
22.6%
23.8%
25.2%
26.6%
27.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
63
-24 vs proj
Exit velocity89.0
60
Hard-hit%40.6%
57
-29 vs proj
xBA0.354
81
xSLG0.594
75
xwOBA0.328
70
BB%10.2%
69
Bat speed70.7
68
K%25.7%
33
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.3 · RF
96
Arm Strength94.5 · RF
64
Outs Above Avg3.0 · RF
93
Range Runs2.3 · RF
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · RF
61
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.4% · rebadged research
80
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7% · rebadged research
19
Correct Decisions66.0% · rebadged research
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
80
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
75
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353 · validated
24
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.388 · validated
7
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
135 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.018 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.023 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Suzuki’s wOBA sits at 0.369, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.328 — a gap of 0.041, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 343 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen, Carter KC · L | 0.76 | Sprint speedBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Karros, Kyle COL · R | 0.72 | Whiff rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Keith, Colt DET · L | 0.71 | Chase ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.70 | Walk rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8 | 2026-06-26 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.346 xwOBA | 27 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 vs NYM0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2B, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-14 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 3 K, R |