Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

Danny Jansen

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 240 lb · Age 31

Cards
4
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024324355790.205.309.349.658
20253373862140.215.321.399.720
2026227214081.203.296.381.677
9 Seasons2268269431962.218.309.412.721
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
25
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
29
Defense4 metrics
37
Speed1 metrics
30
Plate skills10 metrics
76
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.296
xwOBA current pace0.268
xwOBA rolling p500.281
Observed weight52%
xwOBA
0.253 0.267 0.281 0.296 0.309
wOBA
0.281 0.300 0.320 0.341 0.359
ISO
0.125 0.142 0.160 0.179 0.195
K%
20.7% 22.2% 23.8% 25.5% 27.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
41
Exit velocity86.1
30
Hard-hit%34.0%
31
xBA0.260
8
xSLG0.431
24
xwOBA0.268
17
BB%8.5%
52 -18 vs proj
Bat speed67.0
21
K%25.2%
37
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.9 · C
92
Catcher Throwing-0.9 · C
30
Framing Runs-4.5 · C
11
Pop Time2.0 · C
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · C
30
SB Success Rate50.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.1% · rebadged research
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions73.1% · rebadged research
96
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
74
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
92
Resists FastballwOBA 0.310 · validated
91
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
38
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
93
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Jansen, Danny · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.268 2026-09-13: 0.2612026-09-14: 0.2612026-09-18: 0.2612026-09-19: 0.2612026-09-20: 0.2612026-09-21: 0.2632026-09-22: 0.2632026-09-23: 0.2662026-09-24: 0.2682026-09-25: 0.2682026-09-26: 0.2672026-09-27: 0.268 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

123 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Jansen, Danny · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 24% of plotted batted ballsPull 24%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 7% of plotted batted ballsOppo 7% LF 329 CF 407 RF 326 2026-03-16 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 22.02026-03-16 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA -37.02026-03-16 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 20.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 66.02026-03-26 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -1.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 4.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.7 / LA 31.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 47.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 94.6 / LA 21.02026-03-31 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 29.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 1.02026-03-31 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 0.02026-03-31 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 8.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 23.02026-04-01 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 1.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · popup · EV 81.7 / LA 59.02026-04-01 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 61.3 / LA 47.02026-04-03 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 17.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 0.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · popup · EV 90.6 / LA 76.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 39.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 42.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 18.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 75.6 / LA 80.02026-04-08 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.2 / LA -21.02026-04-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 12.02026-04-12 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 55.6 / LA -37.02026-04-14 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 17.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA -18.02026-04-15 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 82.2 / LA 19.02026-04-15 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -8.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · popup · EV 82.9 / LA 63.02026-04-15 · field out · FC · popup · EV 72.1 / LA 73.02026-04-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA -51.02026-04-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 61.2 / LA -11.02026-04-17 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 24.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · popup · EV 62.6 / LA 75.02026-04-21 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 7.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 7.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.4 / LA 63.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · popup · EV 74.9 / LA 62.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · popup · EV 88.8 / LA 63.02026-04-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 83.8 / LA 21.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · popup · EV 74.4 / LA 72.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -21.02026-04-28 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 26.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 74.6 / LA 2.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.1 / LA -9.02026-05-01 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 32.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 44.02026-05-02 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA -9.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -10.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -4.02026-05-07 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -11.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 58.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 38.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 87.0 / LA 24.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · popup · EV 78.8 / LA 59.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -17.02026-05-10 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 62.5 / LA -37.02026-05-10 · sac bunt · CU · ground_ball · EV 23.8 / LA -69.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · popup · EV 76.7 / LA 61.02026-05-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 6.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.1 / LA 54.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 44.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 56.02026-05-18 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 55.02026-05-18 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -18.02026-05-18 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA -2.02026-05-19 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA 7.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 49.02026-05-19 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 16.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 8.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 41.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 2.02026-05-22 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 33.02026-05-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 47.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 26.02026-05-25 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 61.6 / LA -18.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.4 / LA 64.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 2.02026-05-27 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 89.1 / LA 12.02026-06-01 · field out · SL · popup · EV 90.3 / LA 72.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 50.02026-08-22 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA 7.02026-08-29 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA -33.02026-08-29 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 52.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 92.5 / LA 21.02026-08-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -24.02026-08-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -3.02026-09-02 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 47.02026-09-02 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 66.5 / LA 21.02026-09-05 · field out · FC · popup · EV 80.6 / LA 67.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 60.02026-09-05 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 5.02026-09-06 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.7 / LA 24.02026-09-08 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 96.4 / LA 7.02026-09-08 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 29.02026-09-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 5.02026-09-10 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 5.02026-09-10 · sac bunt · SL · ground_ball · EV 31.4 / LA 4.02026-09-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 68.7 / LA 62.02026-09-11 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 92.9 / LA 19.02026-09-11 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 95.6 / LA 10.02026-09-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -5.02026-09-13 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 16.02026-09-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -11.02026-09-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA 0.02026-09-17 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 71.1 / LA 41.02026-09-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 59.02026-09-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -3.02026-09-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 77.8 / LA 48.02026-09-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 36.02026-09-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 36.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.2 / LA 77.02026-09-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 7.02026-09-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -1.02026-09-25 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.2 / LA 28.02026-09-25 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 28.02026-09-25 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 80.7 / LA 18.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 39.02026-09-26 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 32.02026-09-26 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 73.2 / LA 41.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Jansen, Danny · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 23%23%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 2"
Weight240 lb
Debut2018-08-13
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.019
wOBA Δ+0.033

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.320
xwOBA (deserved)0.268

Jansen’s wOBA sits at 0.320, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.268 — a gap of 0.053, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 234 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-08-25Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding32026-09-231 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.130
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.287 xwOBA | 15 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-17 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E1-5 | 2B, 2 K
2026-04-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E1-4
2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E1-3 | K
2026-04-12 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E0-2 | 3 BB, K