Mithrandir Metrics
Player Arizona Diamondbacks Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 215 lb · Age 32

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Arizona Diamondbacks Position LF Roster Current MLB team Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202455372143187.279.322.435.757
2025546521241910.248.295.418.713
2026201133921.210.254.290.544
9 Seasons375642694113137.271.316.445.761
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
26
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
31
Defense4 metrics
39
Speed1 metrics
19
Plate skills10 metrics
51
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.5%
30
Exit velocity87.3
43
Hard-hit%33.8%
30
xBA0.294
22
xSLG0.392
10
xwOBA0.273
22
BB%5.0%
14
Bat speed68.9
39
K%18.9%
72
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · LF
72
Arm Strength93.6 · LF
52
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · LF
9
Range Runs-2.7 · LF
22
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · LF
19
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.1% · rebadged research
13
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions61.4% · rebadged research
12
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · borderline
90
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
75
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
63
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330 · validated
92
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
21
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Gurriel Jr., Lourdes · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.273 2026-09-13: 0.2732026-09-14: 0.2732026-09-18: 0.2732026-09-19: 0.2732026-09-20: 0.2732026-09-21: 0.2732026-09-22: 0.2732026-09-23: 0.2732026-09-24: 0.2732026-09-25: 0.2732026-09-26: 0.2732026-09-27: 0.273 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

107 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Gurriel Jr., Lourdes · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsPull 17%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-04-18 · field out · SI · popup · EV 92.4 / LA 66.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 75.6 / LA 57.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 25.02026-04-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -5.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 72.3 / LA 16.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.6 / LA 17.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -9.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 41.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.3 / LA -33.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 94.4 / LA 10.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 27.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA -31.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 49.7 / LA -52.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 38.02026-04-22 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -21.02026-04-25 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -28.02026-04-25 · field out · KC · popup · EV 74.5 / LA 60.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 1.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -26.02026-04-26 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 71.2 / LA 39.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 1.02026-04-26 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -9.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 28.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -12.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · popup · EV 46.3 / LA 73.02026-04-29 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 82.9 / LA 14.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 5.02026-04-29 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.2 / LA -38.02026-04-30 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 63.9 / LA 33.02026-04-30 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 88.5 / LA 15.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 45.02026-05-02 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 24.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.8 / LA -1.02026-05-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 13.02026-05-03 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -1.02026-05-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 6.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.7 / LA 17.02026-05-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 50.8 / LA -69.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA -2.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 35.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 15.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -23.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -26.02026-05-09 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA -1.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · popup · EV 79.3 / LA 69.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 26.02026-05-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 53.1 / LA -32.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 20.02026-05-12 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -6.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 20.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.7 / LA 39.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.8 / LA -32.02026-05-13 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 16.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.0 / LA 54.02026-05-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 52.02026-05-15 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 44.02026-05-15 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 23.02026-05-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 4.02026-05-16 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 20.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 53.7 / LA 6.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.8 / LA 8.02026-05-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 8.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · popup · EV 89.4 / LA 66.02026-05-17 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 89.1 / LA 16.02026-05-17 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 36.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 30.02026-05-19 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 13.02026-05-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 3.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.1 / LA -43.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.1 / LA 5.02026-05-21 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 42.02026-05-21 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -15.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 30.02026-05-22 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 26.02026-05-22 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 8.02026-06-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA -7.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 57.02026-06-15 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 69.4 / LA 27.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 54.9 / LA 17.02026-06-20 · field out · FS · popup · EV 80.7 / LA 67.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 2.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 17.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 39.02026-06-22 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 7.02026-06-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 84.5 / LA 14.02026-06-24 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -2.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.0 / LA 79.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.9 / LA 74.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 0.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -2.02026-06-26 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA -18.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -13.02026-06-30 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 37.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · popup · EV 63.0 / LA 81.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 65.2 / LA 60.02026-06-30 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 18.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -3.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 94.6 / LA 17.02026-07-01 · field out · CH · popup · EV 70.9 / LA 65.02026-09-07 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 5.02026-09-07 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA -5.02026-09-08 · triple · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 27.02026-09-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -12.02026-09-09 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.5 / LA -9.02026-09-09 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 68.2 / LA 37.02026-09-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 26.02026-09-11 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 75.8 / LA 24.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Gurriel Jr., Lourdes · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 41%41%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 91%91%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 3"
Weight215 lb
Debut2018-04-20
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.252
xwOBA (deserved)0.273

Jr.’s wOBA sits at 0.252, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.273 — a gap of 0.021, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 201 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding12026-09-094 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.103
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-05-20 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K