Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Mets Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Mets

Brett Baty

3B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 210 lb · Age 26

Cards
23
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Mets Position 3B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024171153540.229.306.327.633
202543253100188.254.313.435.748
20264735399115.236.309.371.680
5 Seasons15071663164415.233.300.371.671
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
77
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
72
Defense4 metrics
47
Speed3 metrics
54
Plate skills10 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.313
xwOBA current pace0.323
xwOBA rolling p500.320
Observed weight69%
xwOBA
0.299 0.309 0.320 0.330 0.340
wOBA
0.295 0.308 0.322 0.337 0.350
ISO
0.116 0.128 0.140 0.152 0.163
K%
23.4% 24.5% 25.7% 26.9% 28.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.0%
81
Exit velocity90.4
83
Hard-hit%42.6%
71
xBA0.346
80
xSLG0.587
77
xwOBA0.323
71
BB%9.5%
62
Bat speed73.2
90
K%25.9%
33 -16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 3B
12
Arm Strength92.2 · 3B
83
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
27
Range Runs1.1 · 3B
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.5 · 3B
72
SB Success Rate83.3% · 3B
59
Sprint Speed26.8 · 3B
33
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.3% · rebadged research
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9% · rebadged research
75
Correct Decisions69.2% · rebadged research
80
Resists FastballwOBA 0.368 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
75
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
61
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
30
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
31
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
22
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Baty, Brett · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.323 2026-09-13: 0.3132026-09-14: 0.3122026-09-18: 0.3112026-09-19: 0.3122026-09-20: 0.3122026-09-21: 0.3152026-09-22: 0.3152026-09-23: 0.3162026-09-24: 0.3202026-09-25: 0.3202026-09-26: 0.3222026-09-27: 0.323 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

208 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Baty, Brett · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsPull 19%Center field third: 66% of plotted batted ballsCenter 66%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 335 CF 408 RF 330 2026-03-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 16.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -25.02026-03-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 0.02026-03-17 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 88.1 / LA 12.02026-03-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 64.0 / LA -21.02026-03-17 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 23.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 25.02026-03-19 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 26.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 26.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -9.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 35.02026-03-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA -5.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 53.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 66.5 / LA 0.02026-03-26 · triple · CH · line_drive · EV 103.0 / LA 20.02026-03-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.9 / LA 26.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.7 / LA 63.02026-03-28 · double play · CH · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 12.02026-03-29 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.1 / LA -15.02026-03-29 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 6.02026-03-30 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 29.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 26.02026-03-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 12.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA -44.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -54.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -16.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 44.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -8.02026-04-01 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -2.02026-04-03 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -12.02026-04-03 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 13.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 37.02026-04-04 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 11.02026-04-04 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA -1.02026-04-04 · field out · EP · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 26.02026-04-07 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 5.02026-04-07 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -1.02026-04-07 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 34.02026-04-08 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -25.02026-04-08 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -20.02026-04-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 12.02026-04-08 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 110.6 / LA 9.02026-04-09 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA -42.02026-04-09 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 13.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.7 / LA -40.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA -23.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 33.02026-04-11 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 46.02026-04-12 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 42.02026-04-12 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 76.8 / LA 45.02026-04-14 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 44.9 / LA -77.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 63.9 / LA -14.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA -6.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -19.02026-04-18 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 40.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA -35.02026-04-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 11.02026-04-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -13.02026-04-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.5 / LA 17.02026-04-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.1 / LA 27.02026-04-23 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 7.02026-04-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 108.6 / LA 10.02026-04-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 3.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 42.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.6 / LA -32.02026-04-24 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 17.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -31.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 39.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 20.02026-04-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 40.02026-04-28 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA -6.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · popup · EV 59.0 / LA 59.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 10.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA -25.02026-04-29 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 85.8 / LA 19.02026-04-30 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 42.1 / LA -75.02026-04-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.5 / LA -6.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.6 / LA -14.02026-05-03 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA 6.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 48.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 39.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.4 / LA -38.02026-05-06 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 12.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -14.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 38.02026-05-06 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 91.5 / LA 14.02026-05-07 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 46.02026-05-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -7.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 72.5 / LA 60.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -12.02026-05-09 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 18.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 18.02026-05-12 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 6.02026-05-12 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 96.2 / LA 21.02026-05-12 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA -11.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -36.02026-05-13 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 13.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -14.02026-05-14 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 21.02026-05-14 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 31.02026-05-15 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 80.4 / LA 24.02026-05-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -9.02026-05-16 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 111.7 / LA 18.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -7.02026-05-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 72.1 / LA 21.02026-05-17 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 48.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 81.3 / LA 61.02026-05-18 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 111.2 / LA 23.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 18.02026-05-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 3.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 29.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 64.5 / LA 36.02026-05-19 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 63.1 / LA -21.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 39.02026-05-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 81.9 / LA 20.02026-05-21 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 19.02026-05-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 6.02026-05-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.1 / LA -19.02026-05-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 72.5 / LA 21.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -17.02026-05-22 · field out · ST · popup · EV 77.7 / LA 60.02026-05-24 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 14.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA -2.02026-05-25 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 51.8 / LA -49.02026-05-25 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 26.02026-05-27 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 10.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 8.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 66.7 / LA -4.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 40.02026-05-31 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 84.4 / LA 23.02026-06-01 · double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 55.7 / LA -42.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 31.02026-06-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 12.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.3 / LA -46.02026-06-05 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 12.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 12.02026-06-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 13.02026-06-07 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -15.02026-06-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 58.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · popup · EV 84.2 / LA 75.02026-06-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 84.7 / LA 26.02026-06-18 · field out · CH · popup · EV 78.3 / LA 60.02026-06-20 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 75.5 / LA -22.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 29.02026-06-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 25.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 23.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.3 / LA 31.02026-06-30 · sac fly · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 36.02026-06-30 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 60.02026-06-30 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 69.8 / LA -10.02026-06-30 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.4 / LA 4.02026-07-01 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 108.4 / LA 12.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA -18.02026-07-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 30.02026-07-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.7 / LA 9.02026-08-05 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 19.02026-08-05 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 37.02026-08-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.8 / LA 26.02026-08-07 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.3 / LA 6.02026-08-07 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 76.4 / LA 49.02026-08-07 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 3.02026-08-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 27.02026-08-15 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 69.2 / LA 12.02026-08-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 45.02026-08-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -8.02026-08-16 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 19.02026-08-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 45.02026-08-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 35.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.5 / LA 21.02026-08-21 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 114.0 / LA 11.02026-08-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 13.02026-08-22 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 53.2 / LA -61.02026-08-23 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -30.02026-08-26 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -19.02026-08-26 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA -4.02026-08-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 73.5 / LA 21.02026-08-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 16.02026-08-27 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -33.02026-08-29 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.0 / LA 20.02026-08-29 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 42.4 / LA -50.02026-09-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 38.02026-09-02 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 21.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 50.02026-09-05 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 35.02026-09-05 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 90.4 / LA 21.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA -2.02026-09-06 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 36.02026-09-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.0 / LA 48.02026-09-07 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 4.02026-09-07 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 23.02026-09-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.2 / LA 16.02026-09-08 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 111.7 / LA 34.02026-09-08 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 94.2 / LA 23.02026-09-08 · sac fly · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 45.02026-09-09 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA 4.02026-09-13 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 40.02026-09-13 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 27.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 1.02026-09-18 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 14.02026-09-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 22.02026-09-20 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -10.02026-09-22 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 5.02026-09-22 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 13.02026-09-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.2 / LA 36.02026-09-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 71.7 / LA 20.02026-09-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 109.0 / LA 9.02026-09-26 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -4.02026-09-26 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 27.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Baty, Brett · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 27%27%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 73%73%Hard hit: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Baty, Brett · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 74.8 mph Hard swing rate 52% Whiff / swing 25% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lb
Debut2022-08-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.011
wOBA Δ+0.011

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.0σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.322
xwOBA (deserved)0.323

Baty’s wOBA sits at 0.322, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.323 — a gap of 0.000, 0.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 486 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Riley, Austin ATL · R 0.80 xwOBA on contactSwing length Player · Projection
McMahon, Ryan NYY · L 0.77 Whiff rateChase rate Player · Projection
Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R 0.73 Bat speedChase rate Player · Projection
Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R 0.73 Avg exit velocityBarrel rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-09-08Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding182026-09-262 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.140
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.311 xwOBA | 16 HRProjection
2026-08-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-2 | 2 BB, R
2026-05-20 @ WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-2 | BB, RBI
2026-04-17 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E0-2 | K
2026-04-15 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-14 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | 2 K