Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Mets Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Mets

Brett Baty

3B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 210 lb · Age 26

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Mets Position 3B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024171153540.229.306.327.633
202543253100188.254.313.435.748
2026332366655.224.299.327.626
5 Seasons13661492833815.230.296.361.657
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
62
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
61
Defense4 metrics
32
Speed3 metrics
56
Plate skills10 metrics
65
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.313
xwOBA current pace0.307
xwOBA rolling p500.309
Observed weight61%
xwOBA
0.287 0.298 0.309 0.321 0.332
wOBA
0.268 0.283 0.299 0.316 0.331
ISO
0.088 0.101 0.115 0.129 0.141
K%
23.5% 24.8% 26.1% 27.5% 28.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.1%
67
Exit velocity89.7
69
Hard-hit%40.6%
57
xBA0.341
69
xSLG0.539
60
xwOBA0.307
49
BB%9.3%
58
Bat speed72.8
87
K%26.7%
28 -16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 3B
17
Arm Strength88.4 · 3B
67
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 3B
12
Range Runs-1.7 · 3B
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · 3B
74
SB Success Rate83.3% · 3B
57
Sprint Speed26.9 · 3B
37
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.0% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
79
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
75
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · borderline
84
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.292 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
67
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
99
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
53
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
35
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Baty, Brett · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.307 2026-07-06: 0.2962026-07-07: 0.2982026-07-08: 0.2962026-07-09: 0.3032026-07-10: 0.3022026-07-11: 0.3012026-07-12: 0.3102026-07-13: 0.3092026-07-14: 0.3072026-07-15: 0.3072026-07-16: 0.3072026-07-17: 0.307 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

153 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Baty, Brett · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsOppo 14% LF 335 CF 408 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -25.02026-03-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 16.02026-03-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 0.02026-03-17 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 88.1 / LA 12.02026-03-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 64.0 / LA -21.02026-03-17 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 23.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 25.02026-03-19 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 26.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 26.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -9.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 35.02026-03-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA -5.02026-03-26 · triple · CH · line_drive · EV 103.0 / LA 20.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 53.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 66.5 / LA 0.02026-03-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.9 / LA 26.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.7 / LA 63.02026-03-28 · double play · CH · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 12.02026-03-29 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.1 / LA -15.02026-03-29 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 6.02026-03-30 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 29.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 26.02026-03-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 12.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA -44.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -54.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -16.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -8.02026-04-01 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -2.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 44.02026-04-03 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -12.02026-04-03 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 13.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 37.02026-04-04 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA -1.02026-04-04 · field out · EP · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 26.02026-04-04 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 11.02026-04-07 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 34.02026-04-07 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -1.02026-04-07 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 5.02026-04-08 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -25.02026-04-08 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -20.02026-04-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 12.02026-04-08 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 110.6 / LA 9.02026-04-09 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA -42.02026-04-09 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 13.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.7 / LA -40.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA -23.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 33.02026-04-11 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 46.02026-04-12 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 76.8 / LA 45.02026-04-12 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 42.02026-04-14 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 44.9 / LA -77.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA -6.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 63.9 / LA -14.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -19.02026-04-18 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 40.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA -35.02026-04-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 11.02026-04-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -13.02026-04-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.5 / LA 17.02026-04-23 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 7.02026-04-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 108.6 / LA 10.02026-04-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.1 / LA 27.02026-04-24 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 17.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.6 / LA -32.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 42.02026-04-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 3.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 20.02026-04-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 40.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -31.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 39.02026-04-28 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA -6.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · popup · EV 59.0 / LA 59.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 10.02026-04-29 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 85.8 / LA 19.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA -25.02026-04-30 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 42.1 / LA -75.02026-04-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.5 / LA -6.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.6 / LA -14.02026-05-03 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA 6.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 48.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 39.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.4 / LA -38.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -14.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 38.02026-05-06 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 12.02026-05-06 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 91.5 / LA 14.02026-05-07 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 46.02026-05-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -7.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 72.5 / LA 60.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -12.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 18.02026-05-09 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 18.02026-05-12 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA -11.02026-05-12 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 6.02026-05-12 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 96.2 / LA 21.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -36.02026-05-13 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 13.02026-05-14 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 21.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -14.02026-05-14 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 31.02026-05-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -9.02026-05-15 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 80.4 / LA 24.02026-05-16 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 111.7 / LA 18.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 81.3 / LA 61.02026-05-17 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 48.02026-05-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 72.1 / LA 21.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -7.02026-05-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 3.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 18.02026-05-18 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 111.2 / LA 23.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 29.02026-05-19 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 63.1 / LA -21.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 64.5 / LA 36.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 39.02026-05-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 81.9 / LA 20.02026-05-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 72.5 / LA 21.02026-05-21 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 19.02026-05-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 6.02026-05-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.1 / LA -19.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -17.02026-05-22 · field out · ST · popup · EV 77.7 / LA 60.02026-05-24 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 14.02026-05-25 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 26.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA -2.02026-05-25 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 51.8 / LA -49.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 66.7 / LA -4.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 8.02026-05-27 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 10.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 40.02026-05-31 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 84.4 / LA 23.02026-06-01 · double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 55.7 / LA -42.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 31.02026-06-05 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 12.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 12.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.3 / LA -46.02026-06-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 12.02026-06-07 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -15.02026-06-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 58.02026-06-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 13.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · popup · EV 84.2 / LA 75.02026-06-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 84.7 / LA 26.02026-06-18 · field out · CH · popup · EV 78.3 / LA 60.02026-06-20 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 75.5 / LA -22.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 29.02026-06-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 25.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 23.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.3 / LA 31.02026-06-30 · sac fly · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 36.02026-06-30 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 60.02026-06-30 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 69.8 / LA -10.02026-06-30 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.4 / LA 4.02026-07-01 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 108.4 / LA 12.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA -18.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Baty, Brett · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 27%27%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 73%73%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Baty, Brett · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 74.8 mph Hard swing rate 52% Whiff / swing 25% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lb
Debut2022-08-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.004
wOBA Δ-0.012

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.3σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.299
xwOBA (deserved)0.307

Baty’s wOBA sits at 0.299, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.307 — a gap of 0.008, 0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 345 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
García, Adolis PHI · R 0.72 Barrel rateChase rate Player · Projection
Merrill, Jackson SD · L 0.70 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate Player · Projection
Riley, Austin ATL · R 0.70 Max exit velocityPull rate Player · Projection
Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R 0.70 Pull rateSwing length Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-07-16Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.311 xwOBA | 16 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-2 | BB, RBI
2026-04-17 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E0-2 | K
2026-04-15 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-14 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | 2 K
2026-04-12 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K