Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
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Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2025-09-11
0 activated plays
Gap rows 270
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2025-09-12 Older: 2025-09-10

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-06-19 2026-06-18 2026-06-17 2026-06-16 2026-06-15 2026-06-14 2026-06-13 2026-06-12

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Juan Soto

Play

NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo

Value Score 71.8
Odds / Gap +315 / +6.45%
1+ HR 30.6%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.070x

Value Rank #2

Marcell Ozuna

Play

PIT vs BAL | Cade Povich

Value Score 64.4
Odds / Gap +355 / +5.85%
1+ HR 27.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.017x

Value Rank #3

Yordan Alvarez

Play

HOU vs TOR | Kevin Gausman

Value Score 63.8
Odds / Gap +360 / +5.88%
1+ HR 27.6%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.002x

Value Rank #4

Tyler O'Neill

Play

BAL vs PIT | Johan Oviedo

Value Score 59.2
Odds / Gap +380 / +5.68%
1+ HR 26.5%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.017x

Value Rank #5

Anthony Santander

Lean

TOR vs HOU | Cristian Javier

Value Score 45.6
Odds / Gap +380 / +3.70%
1+ HR 24.5%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.002x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.45%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 30.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +315 / U -400
+6.45%
23.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +310 / U --
+6.16%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +305 / U -375
+5.86%
23.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 27.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -465
+5.88%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
+5.64%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+5.40%
21.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.85%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 27.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +355 / U -460
+5.85%
21.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
+5.61%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +345 / U -430
+5.36%
21.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Tyler O'Neill headshot

Tyler O'Neill
BAL vs PIT | Johan Oviedo | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.68%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 26.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +380 / U -495
+5.68%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
+5.46%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +370 / U -460
+5.23%
20.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+3.88%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+3.72%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+3.55%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.0
Anthony Santander headshot

Anthony Santander
TOR vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.70%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 24.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +380 / U -490
+3.70%
20.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +370 / U --
+3.25%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +365 / U -460
+3.02%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+3.31%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+3.31%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +615 / U --
+3.31%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Luis Robert Jr. headshot

Luis Robert Jr.
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 9
Lean
Best Gap +2.56%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -740
+2.56%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.43%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -695
+2.30%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +2.50%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1030
+2.50%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +710 / U -1095
+2.50%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
+2.43%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.67%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -585
+1.67%
17.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -545
+1.32%
18.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
+1.32%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+1.64%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -565
+1.30%
17.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
+1.30%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs NYM | David Peterson | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +410 / U -540
+1.46%
18.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +405 / U --
+1.27%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +400 / U -505
+1.07%
19.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.0
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs WSH | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.35%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 3.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.35%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.85%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-4.85%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 96.1
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.29%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -890
+1.29%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +605 / U -840
+1.19%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+1.19%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Yainer Diaz headshot

Yainer Diaz
HOU vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +1.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -820
+1.27%
14.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -770
+1.16%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+1.16%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Kyle Stowers headshot

Kyle Stowers
MIA vs WSH | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.83%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+0.83%
17.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +450 / U -610
-0.02%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
-4.25%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 96.1
Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs NYM | David Peterson | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +755 / U -1115
+0.79%
11.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +750 / U -1185
+0.73%
11.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +745 / U --
+0.66%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.52%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 23.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+0.52%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +275 / U -345
-0.82%
25.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-3.74%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.6
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.51%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -550
+0.51%
18.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +440 / U -585
-0.27%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
-4.00%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.6
Yoán Moncada headshot

Yoán Moncada
LAA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.38%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+0.38%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+0.27%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+0.27%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Mark Vientos headshot

Mark Vientos
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.16%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+0.16%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+0.00%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
-0.17%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 103.0
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.15%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+0.15%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
-0.21%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-0.21%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.9
Gunnar Henderson headshot

Gunnar Henderson
BAL vs PIT | Johan Oviedo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+0.03%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -565
-0.31%
17.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
-0.31%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.1
Rob Refsnyder headshot

Rob Refsnyder
SEA vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.19%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -745
-0.19%
14.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +560 / U -795
-0.85%
14.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
-3.25%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -755
-0.23%
14.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +565 / U -805
-0.88%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +560 / U --
-3.22%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.6
Hunter Goodman headshot

Hunter Goodman
COL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -450
-0.25%
21.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -480
-1.19%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-3.08%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Zach Neto headshot

Zach Neto
LAA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.29%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +445 / U -595
-0.29%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
-0.46%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +435 / U -560
-0.63%
18.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -810
-0.33%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
-0.44%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +560 / U -760
-0.55%
14.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.36%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -620
-0.36%
16.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +485 / U -660
-1.09%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
-2.99%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 98.0
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs WSH | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.45%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -720
-0.45%
15.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +545 / U -765
-1.09%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
-3.10%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 96.1
Francisco Alvarez headshot

Francisco Alvarez
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -0.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -665
-0.47%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
-0.62%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
-0.62%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 100.7
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs WSH | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +760 / U -1125
-0.47%
11.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +755 / U -1195
-0.91%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +750 / U --
-3.13%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 96.1
Joey Bart headshot

Joey Bart
PIT vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -0.53%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +835 / U -1290
-0.53%
10.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +825 / U -1365
-0.64%
10.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +825 / U --
-0.64%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.63%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -960
-0.63%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1020
-0.63%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
-0.63%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 101.8
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.63%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -870
-0.63%
13.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +595 / U -820
-0.73%
13.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
-0.73%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 100.5
Heriberto Hernández headshot

Heriberto Hernández
MIA vs WSH | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -0.67%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -845
-0.67%
13.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -900
-1.25%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
-2.83%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 96.1
Connor Norby headshot

Connor Norby
MIA vs WSH | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -0.68%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +630 / U -875
-0.68%
13.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +630 / U -930
-1.23%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
-2.85%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 96.1
Dominic Canzone headshot

Dominic Canzone
SEA vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -0.74%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -685
-0.74%
15.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +525 / U -730
-1.43%
15.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
-2.65%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.1
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.75%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +480 / U -625
-0.75%
16.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +485 / U -665
-1.47%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
-2.70%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Pete Alonso headshot

Pete Alonso
BAL vs PIT | Johan Oviedo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +315 / U -385
-0.79%
23.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +325 / U -410
-1.80%
22.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +320 / U --
-2.40%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.4
Christopher Morel headshot

Christopher Morel
MIA vs WSH | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.84%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -600
-0.84%
17.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +470 / U -640
-1.62%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-2.57%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 98.7
Luke Raley headshot

Luke Raley
SEA vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 8
No Play
Best Gap -0.86%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -725
-0.86%
15.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +545 / U -770
-1.49%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
-2.64%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.0
Colton Cowser headshot

Colton Cowser
BAL vs PIT | Johan Oviedo | Slot 8
No Play
Best Gap -0.87%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -730
-0.87%
15.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
-1.00%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
-1.13%
15.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Jo Adell headshot

Jo Adell
LAA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.90%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +335 / U -415
-0.90%
22.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +350 / U -445
-1.90%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +340 / U --
-2.41%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -0.93%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +840 / U -1300
-0.93%
10.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +830 / U --
-1.04%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +825 / U -1375
-1.10%
10.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs NYM | David Peterson | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.93%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -785
-0.93%
14.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
-1.04%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -735
-1.16%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 101.5
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.96%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -535
-0.96%
18.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +430 / U -570
-1.78%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
-2.34%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Nolan Schanuel headshot

Nolan Schanuel
LAA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -0.99%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1585
-0.99%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
-1.13%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1675
-1.18%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Ezequiel Tovar headshot

Ezequiel Tovar
COL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.01%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -870
-1.01%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -925
-1.56%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
-2.47%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.2
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs NYM | David Peterson | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -580
-1.03%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
-1.21%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +425 / U -545
-1.39%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 100.3
Brenton Doyle headshot

Brenton Doyle
COL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -1.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -870
-1.03%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -925
-1.58%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
-2.45%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.3
Mike Trout headshot

Mike Trout
LAA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +365 / U -455
-1.08%
20.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +375 / U -485
-1.95%
20.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +370 / U --
-2.18%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Edmundo Sosa headshot

Edmundo Sosa
PHI vs NYM | David Peterson | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -1.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -910
-1.12%
13.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +615 / U -855
-1.22%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +615 / U --
-1.22%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 100.7
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs MIA | Ryan Weathers | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -595
-1.12%
17.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +465 / U -635
-1.90%
17.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +460 / U --
-2.35%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Jordan Westburg headshot

Jordan Westburg
BAL vs PIT | Johan Oviedo | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -1.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -700
-1.12%
15.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +500 / U -655
-1.26%
16.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
-1.26%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.0
Jorge Soler headshot

Jorge Soler
LAA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -535
-1.12%
18.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +430 / U -570
-1.94%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-2.36%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.8
Oneil Cruz headshot

Oneil Cruz
PIT vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 9
No Play
Best Gap -1.14%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +630 / U -925
-1.14%
13.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +625 / U -870
-1.23%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
-1.23%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs MIA | Ryan Weathers | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -1.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +805 / U -1220
-1.18%
10.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +795 / U -1295
-1.30%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +795 / U --
-1.30%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.19%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -600
-1.19%
17.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +470 / U -640
-1.97%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-2.22%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 99.9
Adley Rutschman headshot

Adley Rutschman
BAL vs PIT | Johan Oviedo | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.20%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
-1.20%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +695 / U -1065
-1.20%
12.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
-1.28%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.4
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.20%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 5.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-1.20%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-1.70%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-2.30%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.21%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -665
-1.21%
16.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +510 / U -710
-1.93%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +505 / U --
-2.25%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Spencer Horwitz headshot

Spencer Horwitz
PIT vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.22%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
-1.22%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -980
-1.22%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
-1.30%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Logan O'Hoppe headshot

Logan O'Hoppe
LAA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -1.24%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -560
-1.24%
18.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +445 / U -600
-1.96%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
-2.13%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Ryan O'Hearn headshot

Ryan O'Hearn
PIT vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.24%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -795
-1.24%
14.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +585 / U -850
-1.24%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
-1.24%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs NYM | David Peterson | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 25.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +275 / U -340
-1.26%
25.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +265 / U -315
-1.31%
26.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-1.62%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 103.5
Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs MIA | Ryan Weathers | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -790
-1.27%
14.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +585 / U -840
-1.87%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
-2.20%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.9
Dylan Crews headshot

Dylan Crews
WSH vs MIA | Ryan Weathers | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -1.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1035
-1.27%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +710 / U -1095
-1.27%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
-1.34%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Brandon Lowe headshot

Brandon Lowe
PIT vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.28%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -480
-1.28%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-1.51%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +360 / U -450
-1.74%
21.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.8
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.28%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
-1.28%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
-1.47%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
-1.66%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 97.3
Ryan Mountcastle headshot

Ryan Mountcastle
BAL vs PIT | Johan Oviedo | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -1.28%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +750 / U -1110
-1.28%
11.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +745 / U -1175
-1.70%
11.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +745 / U --
-2.29%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 97.9
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -550
-1.30%
18.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +440 / U -585
-1.84%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
-2.19%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.8
Isaac Collins headshot

Isaac Collins
KC vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.32%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +865 / U -1350
-1.32%
10.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +850 / U -1430
-1.49%
10.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +850 / U --
-1.49%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Taylor Ward headshot

Taylor Ward
BAL vs PIT | Johan Oviedo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.34%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -545
-1.34%
18.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +435 / U -580
-1.85%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
-2.03%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Jordan Beck headshot

Jordan Beck
COL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -1.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1170
-1.37%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +770 / U -1240
-1.78%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +770 / U --
-2.25%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Mickey Moniak headshot

Mickey Moniak
COL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.40%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -530
-1.40%
18.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +430 / U -570
-1.60%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-1.96%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.43%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -620
-1.43%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -580
-1.72%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
-1.75%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Brett Baty headshot

Brett Baty
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 8
No Play
Best Gap -1.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -910
-1.44%
13.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +615 / U -860
-1.54%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +615 / U --
-1.54%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 100.5
Travis D'Arnaud headshot

Travis D'Arnaud
LAA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 8
No Play
Best Gap -1.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -805
-1.46%
14.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +590 / U -855
-1.98%
13.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
-2.09%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 100.7
Luis García Jr. headshot

Luis García Jr.
WSH vs MIA | Ryan Weathers | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -885
-1.47%
13.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +635 / U -940
-1.99%
13.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
-2.08%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.49%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +850 / U -1320
-1.49%
10.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +835 / U -1400
-1.86%
10.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +840 / U --
-2.11%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.53%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1065
-1.53%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +725 / U -1130
-1.98%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
-2.09%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.0
Willi Castro headshot

Willi Castro
COL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.54%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +790 / U -1190
-1.54%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +780 / U -1260
-1.66%
10.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +780 / U --
-1.66%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.5
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs MIA | Ryan Weathers | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.55%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
-1.55%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +695 / U -1065
-1.94%
12.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
-2.02%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Davis Schneider headshot

Davis Schneider
TOR vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -1.62%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -695
-1.62%
15.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +530 / U -740
-1.67%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
-1.80%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.62%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +860 / U -1345
-1.62%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1425
-1.98%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +850 / U --
-1.99%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
José Tena headshot

José Tena
WSH vs MIA | Ryan Weathers | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 6.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-1.64%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1145 / U --
-1.67%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +1130 / U -2315
-1.77%
7.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Brandon Marsh headshot

Brandon Marsh
PHI vs NYM | David Peterson | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.67%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
-1.67%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +690 / U -1060
-1.75%
12.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
-1.75%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 101.8
Starling Marte headshot

Starling Marte
KC vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -1.68%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +925 / U -1500
-1.68%
9.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +910 / U --
-1.97%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +905 / U -1585
-2.00%
9.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Edouard Julien headshot

Edouard Julien
COL vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.74%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +690 / U -990
-1.74%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +685 / U -1050
-1.82%
12.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +685 / U --
-1.82%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.4

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 396
Latest Date 2026-06-19
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-06-19
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 294 matched
0 unmatched
 0 / 45 / 85
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
William Contreras | 30.8
 --
Signals --
2026-06-18
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 195 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 43 / 45
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Trea Turner | 52.3
 --
Signals --
2026-06-17
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 225 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 79 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Bo Bichette | 55.2
 --
Signals --
2026-06-16
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 336 matched
0 unmatched
 2 / 71 / 92
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 38.7
 --
Signals --
2026-06-15
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 168 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 29 / 36
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 39.6
 --
Signals --
2026-06-14
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 390 matched
0 unmatched
 53 / 83 / 83
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 55.4
 --
Signals --
2026-06-13
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 291 matched
0 unmatched
 36 / 53 / 87
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
TJ Friedl | 51.9
 --
Signals --
2026-06-12
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 249 matched
0 unmatched
 24 / 76 / 48
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 48.3
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356
Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821
Over Hit Rate 15.9%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%