Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 7" |
| Weight | 248 lb |
| Debut | 2021-10-02 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Oneil Cruz
CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 7", 248 lb · Age 27
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position CF
Roster Injured 10-Day
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 599 | 72 | 140 | 21 | 22 | .259 | .324 | .449 | .773 |
| 2025 | 544 | 62 | 94 | 20 | 38 | .200 | .298 | .378 | .676 |
| 2026 | 283 | 45 | 66 | 14 | 21 | .264 | .350 | .472 | .822 |
| 6 Seasons | 1836 | 233 | 388 | 74 | 94 | .237 | .315 | .432 | .747 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
96
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.335 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.358 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.348 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.322
0.335
0.348
0.362
0.375
wOBA
0.360
0.377
0.396
0.415
0.432
ISO
0.173
0.187
0.202
0.218
0.231
K%
29.0%
30.5%
32.1%
33.8%
35.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.0%
91
Exit velocity96.2
100
Hard-hit%60.0%
100
xBA0.421
99
xSLG0.810
99
xwOBA0.358
88
BB%10.7%
73
Bat speed76.6
99
K%34.3%
5
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · CF
56
Arm Strength101.9 · CF
99
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · CF
6
Range Runs-2.5 · CF
24
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.1 · CF
89
Bolts8.0 · CF
64
SB Success Rate81.0% · CF
48
Sprint Speed28.4 · CF
79
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.2% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0% · rebadged research
41
Correct Decisions63.8% · rebadged research
27
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample
15
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
58
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.360 · insufficient sample
9
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353 · validated
23
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
73
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
149 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.025 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.062 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Cruz’s wOBA sits at 0.396, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.358 — a gap of 0.038, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 300 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caglianone, Jac KC · L | 0.60 | Barrel rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Jordan STL · R | 0.53 | Barrel rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L | 0.52 | Ground-ball rateSprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Mitchell, Garrett MIL · L | 0.50 | Whiff rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-05-12 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.334 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 3 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 2 BB, 3 RBI, 3 R |