Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 181 lb |
| Debut | 2018-08-05 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Brandon Lowe
2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 181 lb · Age 32
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position 2B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 425 | 56 | 94 | 21 | 5 | .244 | .311 | .473 | .784 |
| 2025 | 553 | 79 | 130 | 31 | 3 | .256 | .307 | .477 | .784 |
| 2026 | 652 | 93 | 151 | 34 | 2 | .260 | .331 | .490 | .821 |
| 9 Seasons | 3646 | 508 | 808 | 191 | 35 | .250 | .327 | .483 | .810 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
85
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.339 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.331 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.333 |
| Observed weight | 75% |
xwOBA
0.313
0.322
0.333
0.343
0.353
wOBA
0.341
0.352
0.365
0.377
0.389
ISO
0.195
0.206
0.218
0.230
0.240
K%
26.0%
27.0%
28.2%
29.3%
30.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
86
Exit velocity91.1
87
Hard-hit%46.1%
84
xBA0.355
86
xSLG0.655
90
xwOBA0.331
78
BB%9.6%
64
Bat speed70.8
69
K%28.9%
20
-15 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength84.7 · 2B
27
Outs Above Avg15.0 · 2B
98
Range Runs10.8 · 2B
96
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.2 · 2B
39
Sprint Speed27.0 · 2B
38
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.7% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.8% · rebadged research
55
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
51
Resists FastballwOBA 0.388 · validated
5
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
0
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.320 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · insufficient sample
13
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
48
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
272 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.025 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Lowe’s wOBA sits at 0.365, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.331 — a gap of 0.034, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 668 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stowers, Kyle MIA · L | 0.78 | Pull rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Muncy, Max LAD · L | 0.76 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Neto, Zach LAA · R | 0.76 | Swing lengthWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R | 0.75 | Bat speedFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-09-23 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 21 | 2026-09-24 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.514 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.340 xwOBA | 26 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | 2 2B, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH1 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | HR, BB, K |