Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 181 lb |
| Debut | 2018-08-05 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Brandon Lowe
2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 181 lb · Age 32
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position 2B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 425 | 56 | 94 | 21 | 5 | .244 | .311 | .473 | .784 |
| 2025 | 553 | 79 | 130 | 31 | 3 | .256 | .307 | .477 | .784 |
| 2026 | 406 | 60 | 90 | 21 | 1 | .249 | .318 | .488 | .806 |
| 9 Seasons | 3400 | 475 | 747 | 178 | 34 | .248 | .325 | .482 | .807 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
83
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.339 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.339 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.339 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.316
0.327
0.339
0.351
0.362
wOBA
0.329
0.343
0.359
0.375
0.389
ISO
0.191
0.204
0.220
0.235
0.249
K%
23.9%
25.2%
26.5%
27.9%
29.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
86
Exit velocity91.1
86
Hard-hit%46.2%
80
xBA0.352
79
xSLG0.654
88
xwOBA0.339
77
BB%9.3%
59
Bat speed70.9
70
K%26.8%
27
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.1 · 2B
15
Outs Above Avg8.0 · 2B
96
Range Runs6.1 · 2B
95
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · 2B
49
Sprint Speed26.9 · 2B
37
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.8% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions64.5% · rebadged research
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
31
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
27
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.396 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
72
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
180 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.019 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Lowe’s wOBA sits at 0.359, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.339 — a gap of 0.020, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 418 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter, Kerry DET · L | 0.76 | Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Neto, Zach LAA · R | 0.76 | Swing lengthPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Rushing, Dalton LAD · L | 0.72 | In-zone contactStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Stowers, Kyle MIA · L | 0.72 | Walk rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-04-30 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.340 xwOBA | 26 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | 2 2B, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH1 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | HR, BB, K |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH1 HR | 5 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | HR, HBP, 5 RBI |