Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2023-08-04 |
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays
Davis Schneider
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 8", 190 lb · Age 27
Club Toronto Blue Jays
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 454 | 48 | 76 | 13 | 6 | .191 | .282 | .343 | .625 |
| 2025 | 227 | 33 | 44 | 11 | 3 | .234 | .361 | .436 | .797 |
| 2026 | 152 | 20 | 18 | 5 | 1 | .149 | .311 | .322 | .633 |
| 4 Seasons | 974 | 124 | 170 | 37 | 11 | .207 | .323 | .398 | .721 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
40
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.303 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.285 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.295 |
| Observed weight | 43% |
xwOBA
0.260
0.277
0.295
0.314
0.331
wOBA
0.272
0.294
0.318
0.342
0.364
ISO
0.122
0.145
0.170
0.195
0.218
K%
24.9%
27.0%
29.3%
31.6%
33.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
51
-19 vs proj
Exit velocity86.9
39
Hard-hit%41.8%
67
xBA0.259
7
xSLG0.488
46
xwOBA0.285
29
-33 vs proj
BB%17.6%
100
+16 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
37
K%33.3%
6
-15 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · LF
54
Arm Strength88.4 · LF
12
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
25
Range Runs-3.3 · LF
17
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · LF
35
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.9% · rebadged research
97
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
72
Correct Decisions71.1% · rebadged research
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.244 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
58
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
32
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
69
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373 · validated
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline114
96
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
57 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.004 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Schneider’s wOBA sits at 0.318, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.285 — a gap of 0.033, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 165 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2025-10-29 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 8 | 2026-09-25 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.699 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-14 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, K, R |
| 2026-04-11 vs MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |