Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2022-06-13 |
Player profile / Miami Marlins
Kyle Stowers
LF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 215 lb · Age 28
Club Miami Marlins
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 209 | 15 | 40 | 3 | 0 | .208 | .268 | .333 | .601 |
| 2025 | 457 | 61 | 115 | 25 | 5 | .288 | .368 | .544 | .912 |
| 2026 | 206 | 21 | 39 | 5 | 1 | .215 | .302 | .370 | .672 |
| 5 Seasons | 1003 | 109 | 219 | 36 | 6 | .245 | .321 | .434 | .755 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.314 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.317 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.302
0.317
0.332
0.345
wOBA
0.281
0.301
0.323
0.345
0.364
ISO
0.134
0.151
0.170
0.189
0.206
K%
24.3%
25.9%
27.7%
29.5%
31.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.9%
48
-33 vs proj
Exit velocity90.6
80
Hard-hit%50.8%
92
xBA0.343
71
xSLG0.597
73
xwOBA0.314
55
BB%9.2%
56
Bat speed73.0
89
K%28.6%
17
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · LF
60
Arm Strength93.9 · LF
64
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
44
Range Runs0.2 · LF
53
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · LF
23
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.7% · rebadged research
22
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.7% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · borderline
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
5
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.253 · validated thin sample
95
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
62
Resists FastballwOBA 0.305 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
22
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
100 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.000 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Stowers’s wOBA sits at 0.323, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.314 — a gap of 0.009, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 206 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-05-09 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.323 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 R |