Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 180 lb |
| Debut | 2024-06-03 |
Player profile / Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Connor Norby
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 180 lb · Age 26
Club Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Position 1B
Roster profile
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 194 | 32 | 42 | 9 | 3 | .236 | .294 | .438 | .732 |
| 2025 | 337 | 42 | 78 | 8 | 8 | .251 | .300 | .389 | .689 |
| 2026 | 233 | 17 | 41 | 4 | 6 | .205 | .313 | .325 | .638 |
| 3 Seasons | 764 | 91 | 161 | 21 | 17 | .234 | .302 | .383 | .685 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
36
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
54
Exit velocity87.1
36
Hard-hit%37.0%
41
xBA0.281
14
xSLG0.499
45
xwOBA0.282
25
BB%10.2%
69
Bat speed68.6
35
K%29.9%
16
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.6 · 1B
22
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 1B
85
Range Runs3.4 · 1B
82
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · 1B
52
SB Success Rate75.0% · 1B
34
Sprint Speed28.1 · 1B
70
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8% · rebadged research
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.0% · rebadged research
62
Correct Decisions70.8% · rebadged research
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
20
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260 · validated thin sample
93
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
91
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
64
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
75
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
122 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Norby’s wOBA sits at 0.320, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.282 — a gap of 0.038, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 244 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carter, Evan TEX · L | 0.74 | Pull rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L | 0.64 | Hard-hit rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Freeland, Alex LAD · L | 0.64 | Bat speedMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Laureano, Ramón SD · R | 0.59 | Swing lengthSprint speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-05-02 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| No projection links or recent game log rows are available yet. |