Mithrandir Metrics

TOTAL BASES 2026-06-13 · saved artifact ROWS 91 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 0.5 · 1.5 · 2.5

Lane Health 2026-06-16

Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Total Bases

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn experimental Valinor experimental

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Total Bases board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	TB proj	2+ TB	Hits	TB mult	Best line
01	Freddie FreemanLAD	LAD vs CWSSean Burke	P 74.4 F 85.5 EXPERIMENTAL V 85.1 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	85.1%Over prob · Valinor	82.8%no-vig	--	3.1591count	0.7435prob	1.6594proj	1.101context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
02	Kerry CarpenterDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 28.1 F 30.6 EXPERIMENTAL V 28.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 1.5	71.0%Under prob · Valinor	70.6%no-vig	--	0.8399count	0.2815prob	0.4014proj	0.991context	BetMGM 240 avg 1 books
03	Jake MeyersHOU	HOU vs KCNoah Cameron	P 23.2 F 20.8 EXPERIMENTAL V 24.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 2.5 3 of 3	75.6%Under prob · Valinor	74.7%no-vig	--	1.6001count	0.4599prob	0.951proj	1.007context	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
04	Shohei OhtaniLAD	LAD vs CWSSean Burke	P 79.0 F 84.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 84.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	84.3%Over prob · Valinor	82.7%no-vig	--	3.8449count	0.7901prob	1.622proj	1.101context	FanDuel -115 avg 1 books
05	Tyler SoderstromATH	ATH vs COLKyle Freeland	P 23.9 F 23.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 22.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 2.5 3 of 3	77.3%Under prob · Valinor	74.2%no-vig	--	1.6343count	0.476prob	0.849proj	0.937context	DraftKings 300 avg 1 books
06	Cody BellingerNYY	NYY vs TORKevin Gausman	P 69.3 F 83.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 82.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	82.5%Over prob · Valinor	80.4%no-vig	--	2.836count	0.6933prob	1.4909proj	1.093context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
07	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs PHIAaron Nola	P 24.6 F 22.8 EXPERIMENTAL V 26.2 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 2.5 3 of 3	73.8%Under prob · Valinor	73.7%no-vig	--	1.6444count	0.4568prob	0.8168proj	1.057context	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
08	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs SDRandy Vásquez	P 69.6 F 84.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 82.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	82.5%Over prob · Valinor	78.9%no-vig	--	2.8398count	0.6959prob	1.4328proj	1.041context	FanDuel -110 avg 1 books
09	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs HOUMike Burrows	P 68.3 F 82.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 81.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	81.5%Over prob · Valinor	78.6%no-vig	--	2.6603count	0.6831prob	1.3966proj	0.937context	FanDuel -145 avg 1 books
10	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs PHIAaron Nola	P 61.0 F 80.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 79.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	79.8%Over prob · Valinor	78.1%no-vig	--	2.299count	0.6103prob	1.4038proj	1.057context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
11	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs PHIAaron Nola	P 64.5 F 83.6 EXPERIMENTAL V 82.0 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	82.0%Over prob · Valinor	78.4%no-vig	--	2.6265count	0.6454prob	1.4088proj	1.057context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
12	Mookie BettsLAD	LAD vs CWSSean Burke	P 66.1 F 82.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 81.0 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	81.0%Over prob · Valinor	78.1%no-vig	--	2.6548count	0.6608prob	1.3909proj	1.101context	FanDuel -120 avg 1 books
13	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 66.7 F 81.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 85.0 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	85.0%Over prob · Valinor	81.0%no-vig	--	2.5865count	0.667prob	1.4955proj	1.037context	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
14	Kyle TuckerLAD	LAD vs CWSSean Burke	P 68.2 F 80.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 79.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	79.8%Over prob · Valinor	78.1%no-vig	--	2.8625count	0.6819prob	1.4049proj	1.101context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
15	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs KCNoah Cameron	P 64.6 F 82.5 EXPERIMENTAL V 81.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	81.5%Over prob · Valinor	79.1%no-vig	--	2.548count	0.6464prob	1.428proj	1.007context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
16	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 72.0 F 83.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 82.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	82.3%Over prob · Valinor	80.0%no-vig	--	2.8151count	0.7202prob	1.4728proj	1.089context	FanDuel -105 avg 1 books
17	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs KCNoah Cameron	P 68.1 F 79.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 78.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	78.7%Over prob · Valinor	77.1%no-vig	--	2.7086count	0.6808prob	1.3256proj	1.007context	FanDuel -135 avg 1 books
18	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 65.1 F 80.8 EXPERIMENTAL V 80.0 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	80.0%Over prob · Valinor	78.1%no-vig	--	2.5754count	0.6507prob	1.3744proj	1.01context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
19	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs PHIAaron Nola	P 62.8 F 78.9 EXPERIMENTAL V 78.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	78.3%Over prob · Valinor	76.8%no-vig	--	2.3992count	0.6285prob	1.3372proj	1.057context	FanDuel 130 avg 1 books
20	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 67.2 F 76.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 79.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	79.5%Over prob · Valinor	75.3%no-vig	--	2.8114count	0.672prob	1.2908proj	1.037context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
21	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore	P 55.1 F 76.9 EXPERIMENTAL V 75.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	75.9%Over prob · Valinor	73.7%no-vig	--	2.0248count	0.5509prob	1.2108proj	0.998context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
22	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 59.1 F 76.6 EXPERIMENTAL V 75.6 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	75.6%Over prob · Valinor	73.4%no-vig	--	2.2655count	0.5908prob	1.2176proj	1.037context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
23	José RamírezCLE	CLE vs DETTarik Skubal	P 42.0 F 40.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 43.6 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	43.6%Over prob · Valinor	75.9%no-vig	--	2.5428count	0.6466prob	1.3046proj	0.942context	FanDuel 135 avg 1 books
24	Byron BuxtonMIN	MIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore	P 68.5 F 77.5 EXPERIMENTAL V 76.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	76.5%Over prob · Valinor	74.3%no-vig	--	2.7518count	0.6855prob	1.2337proj	0.998context	FanDuel -135 avg 1 books
25	Vinnie PasquantinoKC	KC vs HOUMike Burrows	P 64.7 F 76.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 79.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	79.5%Over prob · Valinor	75.3%no-vig	--	2.4966count	0.6471prob	1.2661proj	0.937context	FanDuel -105 avg 1 books
26	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs NYYCam Schlittler	P 58.4 F 75.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 79.0 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	79.0%Over prob · Valinor	75.3%no-vig	--	2.2666count	0.5837prob	1.2808proj	1.028context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
27	James WoodWSH	WSH vs SEALuis Castillo	P 63.4 F 74.9 EXPERIMENTAL V 74.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	74.5%Over prob · Valinor	73.6%no-vig	--	2.4186count	0.6337prob	1.2192proj	0.943context	FanDuel -115 avg 1 books
28	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs KCNoah Cameron	P 64.6 F 75.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 74.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	74.9%Over prob · Valinor	74.0%no-vig	--	2.5406count	0.6456prob	1.2375proj	1.007context	FanDuel -105 avg 1 books
29	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore	P 57.2 F 72.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 72.2 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	72.2%Over prob · Valinor	71.4%no-vig	--	2.1697count	0.5724prob	1.1426proj	0.998context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
30	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs HOUMike Burrows	P 57.2 F 74.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 73.0 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	73.0%Over prob · Valinor	71.0%no-vig	--	2.1682count	0.5722prob	1.1285proj	0.937context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
31	Wyatt LangfordTEX	TEX vs BOSRanger Suarez	P 63.2 F 77.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 76.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	76.3%Over prob · Valinor	74.7%no-vig	--	2.4358count	0.6318prob	1.2678proj	1.039context	FanDuel -105 avg 1 books
32	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs BOSRanger Suarez	P 63.7 F 78.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 76.6 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	76.6%Over prob · Valinor	73.3%no-vig	--	2.5068count	0.6369prob	1.1976proj	1.039context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
33	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs NYYCam Schlittler	P 53.9 F 75.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 73.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	73.7%Over prob · Valinor	70.9%no-vig	--	2.0907count	0.5387prob	1.1452proj	1.028context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
34	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs CHCBen Brown	P 43.5 F 42.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 41.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	41.9%Over prob · Valinor	75.0%no-vig	--	2.6598count	0.6606prob	1.2677proj	0.979context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
35	Adley RutschmanBAL	BAL vs SDRandy Vásquez	P 33.3 F 55.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 54.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	54.8%Over prob · Valinor	72.1%no-vig	--	2.0763count	0.5597prob	1.1614proj	1.041context	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
36	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs LAAJosé Soriano	P 24.6 F 22.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 25.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	25.8%Over prob · Valinor	74.7%no-vig	--	1.68count	0.4862prob	1.2487proj	0.969context	DraftKings 290 avg 1 books
37	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs KCNoah Cameron	P 59.5 F 73.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 72.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	72.5%Over prob · Valinor	70.9%no-vig	--	2.2505count	0.5946prob	1.1313proj	1.007context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
38	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs SDRandy Vásquez	P 61.8 F 73.9 EXPERIMENTAL V 72.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	72.9%Over prob · Valinor	70.9%no-vig	--	2.3596count	0.6178prob	1.1318proj	1.041context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
39	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs SEALuis Castillo	P 60.9 F 77.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 76.1 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	76.1%Over prob · Valinor	74.0%no-vig	--	2.1879count	0.6088prob	1.2125proj	0.943context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
40	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore	P 57.8 F 72.9 EXPERIMENTAL V 72.1 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	72.1%Over prob · Valinor	70.4%no-vig	--	2.1868count	0.5784prob	1.1107proj	0.998context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
41	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs SDRandy Vásquez	P 44.2 F 41.8 EXPERIMENTAL V 45.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	45.4%Over prob · Valinor	74.0%no-vig	--	2.7372count	0.6703prob	1.2348proj	1.041context	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
42	Andy PagesLAD	LAD vs CWSSean Burke	P 58.9 F 77.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 75.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	75.7%Over prob · Valinor	72.9%no-vig	--	2.2048count	0.5888prob	1.1765proj	1.101context	FanDuel -120 avg 1 books
43	Brandon NimmoTEX	TEX vs BOSRanger Suarez	P 58.6 F 72.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 75.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	75.7%Over prob · Valinor	72.1%no-vig	--	2.2081count	0.5859prob	1.167proj	1.039context	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
44	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 59.9 F 69.6 EXPERIMENTAL V 73.2 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	73.2%Over prob · Valinor	69.6%no-vig	--	2.258count	0.5994prob	1.0924proj	0.991context	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
45	Spencer SteerCIN	CIN vs AZMichael Soroka	P 57.3 F 71.9 EXPERIMENTAL V 71.1 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	71.1%Over prob · Valinor	69.5%no-vig	--	2.0889count	0.5727prob	1.0866proj	1.009context	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
46	Masataka YoshidaBOS	BOS vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 54.9 F 73.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 73.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	73.3%Over prob · Valinor	72.5%no-vig	--	1.9723count	0.5491prob	1.1553proj	1.089context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
47	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 60.0 F 71.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 74.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	74.9%Over prob · Valinor	71.4%no-vig	--	2.2488count	0.6004prob	1.135proj	0.991context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
48	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 62.0 F 78.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 76.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	76.8%Over prob · Valinor	73.6%no-vig	--	2.3686count	0.62prob	1.2098proj	1.089context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
49	Luis RengifoMIL	MIL vs PHIAaron Nola	P 49.5 F 71.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 70.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	70.5%Over prob · Valinor	69.0%no-vig	--	1.7683count	0.4947prob	1.059proj	1.057context	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
50	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 50.8 F 72.6 EXPERIMENTAL V 71.0 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	71.0%Over prob · Valinor	67.9%no-vig	--	1.7982count	0.5081prob	1.0265proj	0.991context	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
51	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 60.6 F 76.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 74.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	74.7%Over prob · Valinor	71.7%no-vig	--	2.3175count	0.6055prob	1.1407proj	1.089context	FanDuel -110 avg 1 books
52	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 49.8 F 71.5 EXPERIMENTAL V 70.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	70.3%Over prob · Valinor	68.1%no-vig	--	1.7943count	0.4982prob	1.0397proj	0.991context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
53	Josh JungTEX	TEX vs BOSRanger Suarez	P 54.9 F 72.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 71.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	71.9%Over prob · Valinor	70.4%no-vig	--	2.0163count	0.549prob	1.0998proj	1.039context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
54	Mark VientosNYM	NYM vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 36.1 F 56.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 59.6 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	59.6%Over prob · Valinor	70.3%no-vig	--	2.2431count	0.5798prob	1.1038proj	1.037context	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
55	Jahmai JonesDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 58.5 F 69.5 EXPERIMENTAL V 72.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	72.9%Over prob · Valinor	69.0%no-vig	--	2.1123count	0.5846prob	1.0604proj	0.991context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
56	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs CHCBen Brown	P 52.3 F 53.5 EXPERIMENTAL V 52.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	52.3%Over prob · Valinor	69.5%no-vig	--	1.7952count	0.5233prob	1.0681proj	0.979context	FanDuel -115 avg 1 books
57	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 65.0 F 64.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 63.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	63.8%Over prob · Valinor	71.3%no-vig	--	2.7329count	0.6497prob	1.1478proj	1.01context	FanDuel -195 avg 1 books
58	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 52.5 F 70.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 69.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	69.7%Over prob · Valinor	67.9%no-vig	--	1.9659count	0.5251prob	1.0279proj	1.01context	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
59	Paul GoldschmidtNYY	NYY vs TORKevin Gausman	P 30.1 F 51.8 EXPERIMENTAL V 55.2 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	55.2%Over prob · Valinor	69.5%no-vig	--	1.9247count	0.5357prob	1.0697proj	1.093context	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
60	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs SEALuis Castillo	P 24.1 F 24.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 23.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	23.7%Over prob · Valinor	66.2%no-vig	--	1.6405count	0.4555prob	0.9968proj	0.943context	DraftKings 295 avg 1 books
61	Max MuncyLAD	LAD vs CWSSean Burke	P 37.5 F 56.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 60.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	60.3%Over prob · Valinor	67.3%no-vig	--	2.3453count	0.5909prob	1.0297proj	1.101context	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
62	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs AZMichael Soroka	P 53.0 F 70.9 EXPERIMENTAL V 69.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	69.3%Over prob · Valinor	66.4%no-vig	--	1.8937count	0.5296prob	0.9934proj	1.009context	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
63	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs AZMichael Soroka	P 48.1 F 64.0 EXPERIMENTAL V 67.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	67.4%Over prob · Valinor	63.7%no-vig	--	1.6909count	0.481prob	0.9235proj	1.009context	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
64	Luis Robert Jr.NYM	NYM vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 53.5 F 52.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 51.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	51.9%Over prob · Valinor	66.2%no-vig	--	1.9882count	0.5351prob	0.9906proj	1.037context	FanDuel -120 avg 1 books
65	Sal FrelickMIL	MIL vs PHIAaron Nola	P 45.2 F 68.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 72.1 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	72.1%Over prob · Valinor	68.4%no-vig	--	1.5925count	0.4517prob	1.0439proj	1.057context	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
66	Austin MartinMIN	MIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore	P 42.2 F 65.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 64.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	64.8%Over prob · Valinor	63.8%no-vig	--	1.4344count	0.4218prob	0.9249proj	0.998context	FanDuel 130 avg 1 books
67	Matt VierlingDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 23.3 F 23.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 22.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	22.5%Over prob · Valinor	64.3%no-vig	--	1.6037count	0.4619prob	0.9342proj	0.991context	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
68	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs TORKevin Gausman	P 58.7 F 68.9 EXPERIMENTAL V 68.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	68.3%Over prob · Valinor	67.4%no-vig	--	2.2016count	0.5872prob	1.0241proj	1.093context	FanDuel -115 avg 1 books
69	Austin WynnsATH	ATH vs COLKyle Freeland	P 54.3 F 70.5 EXPERIMENTAL V 69.3 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	69.3%Over prob · Valinor	67.3%no-vig	--	1.8679count	0.5429prob	0.9993proj	0.937context	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
70	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs NYYCam Schlittler	P 23.8 F 22.0 EXPERIMENTAL V 25.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	25.4%Over prob · Valinor	64.5%no-vig	--	1.6194count	0.4593prob	0.951proj	1.028context	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
71	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs SDRandy Vásquez	P 24.6 F 22.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 25.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	25.8%Over prob · Valinor	65.1%no-vig	--	1.6655count	0.4795prob	0.9538proj	1.041context	FanDuel 490 avg 1 books
72	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs SDRandy Vásquez	P 49.8 F 62.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 61.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	61.9%Over prob · Valinor	60.7%no-vig	--	1.7906count	0.498prob	0.8624proj	1.041context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
73	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto	P 57.6 F 65.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 68.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	68.9%Over prob · Valinor	65.6%no-vig	--	2.1704count	0.5756prob	0.9817proj	0.921context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
74	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 51.4 F 65.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 68.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	68.7%Over prob · Valinor	65.1%no-vig	--	1.9359count	0.5144prob	0.9596proj	1.037context	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
75	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto	P 47.1 F 67.0 EXPERIMENTAL V 66.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	66.4%Over prob · Valinor	65.6%no-vig	--	1.7139count	0.4709prob	0.9826proj	0.921context	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
76	Tyler FitzgeraldSF	SF vs CHCBen Brown	P 23.8 F 23.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 22.6 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	22.6%Over prob · Valinor	62.3%no-vig	--	1.6323count	0.481prob	0.8718proj	0.979context	DraftKings 305 avg 1 books
77	Zack GelofATH	ATH vs COLKyle Freeland	P 24.0 F 26.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 24.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	24.8%Over prob · Valinor	60.2%no-vig	--	1.6313count	0.4698prob	0.8389proj	0.937context	DraftKings 300 avg 1 books
78	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 44.6 F 66.8 EXPERIMENTAL V 65.6 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	65.6%Over prob · Valinor	63.7%no-vig	--	1.5587count	0.4463prob	0.9117proj	1.089context	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
79	Maikel GarciaKC	KC vs HOUMike Burrows	P 46.0 F 70.0 EXPERIMENTAL V 68.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	68.4%Over prob · Valinor	65.6%no-vig	--	1.5681count	0.4601prob	0.9611proj	0.937context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
80	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs AZMichael Soroka	P 45.3 F 66.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 64.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	64.9%Over prob · Valinor	63.0%no-vig	--	1.5804count	0.453prob	0.8853proj	1.009context	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
81	Luke RaleySEA	SEA vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 51.4 F 67.0 EXPERIMENTAL V 65.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	65.4%Over prob · Valinor	62.8%no-vig	--	1.8397count	0.5145prob	0.9004proj	1.01context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
82	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs HOUMike Burrows	P 47.9 F 47.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 46.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	46.7%Over prob · Valinor	63.0%no-vig	--	1.6949count	0.4791prob	0.909proj	0.937context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
83	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto	P 33.6 F 62.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 65.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	65.8%Over prob · Valinor	62.8%no-vig	--	1.2536count	0.336prob	0.9147proj	0.921context	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
84	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs HOUMike Burrows	P 45.0 F 65.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 64.2 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	64.2%Over prob · Valinor	62.3%no-vig	--	1.5316count	0.4502prob	0.8881proj	0.937context	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
85	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs AZMichael Soroka	P 29.4 F 56.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 54.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 3	54.9%Over prob · Valinor	64.3%no-vig	--	1.9203count	0.5455prob	0.9427proj	1.009context	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
86	Victor RoblesSEA	SEA vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 38.8 F 36.4 EXPERIMENTAL V 40.0 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	40.0%Over prob · Valinor	60.7%no-vig	--	1.2993count	0.3883prob	0.8262proj	1.01context	FanDuel 150 avg 1 books
87	David FryCLE	CLE vs DETTarik Skubal	P 42.8 F 57.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 61.1 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	61.1%Over prob · Valinor	58.0%no-vig	--	1.5145count	0.4279prob	0.7923proj	0.942context	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
88	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs SEALuis Castillo	P 38.6 F 59.1 EXPERIMENTAL V 57.5 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	57.5%Over prob · Valinor	55.3%no-vig	--	1.3296count	0.3855prob	0.7351proj	0.943context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
89	Alex CallLAD	LAD vs CWSSean Burke	P 36.4 F 37.6 EXPERIMENTAL V 36.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	36.4%Over prob · Valinor	55.3%no-vig	--	1.2198count	0.3645prob	0.7172proj	1.101context	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
90	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs PHIAaron Nola	P 29.7 F 42.3 EXPERIMENTAL V 41.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	41.9%Over prob · Valinor	42.5%no-vig	--	0.9326count	0.2973prob	0.4883proj	1.057context	FanDuel -105 avg 1 books
91	Bo NaylorCLE	CLE vs DETTarik Skubal	P 33.4 F 32.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 31.8 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.8%Over prob · Valinor	45.7%no-vig	--	1.0987count	0.3336prob	0.562proj	0.942context	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books