Mithrandir Metrics
CIN 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Spencer Steer

CIN · Hitter · bats R · age 29
IN · 5 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCIN vs AZMichael Soroka
Sample1992.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 21.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 21.3% Market 13.8% Gap +7.0pp
DraftKings 600 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 57.3
F 71.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V 71.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.3% Market 69.5% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 145 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 20.8
F 20.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 20.8% Market -- Gap +3.6pp
FanDuel 310 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.9%
89 +45 vs proj
Exit velocity89.9
69
Hard-hit%42.0%
61 +20 vs proj
xBA0.349
74
xSLG0.645
85
xwOBA0.363
85 +31 vs proj
BB%9.3%
58
Bat speed69.5
48
K%20.4%
59
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.4 · LF
15
Arm Strength91.3 · LF
36
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
44
Range Runs-1.4 · LF
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.5 · LF
87
Sprint Speed28.4 · LF
81
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.0%
79
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9%
42
Correct Decisions69.0%
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.384 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.340
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.279 to 0.361
RegressionNegative · -0.023
Opposing pitcherMichael Soroka
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)