Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Bobby Witt Jr.

KC · Hitter · bats R · age 26
IN · 2 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupKC vs HOUMike Burrows
Sample2768.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 20.5% Market 16.9% Gap +3.0pp
FanDuel 470 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 68.3
F 82.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 81.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 68.3% Market 78.6% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel -145 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 30.4
F 31.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 30.4% Market -- Gap +7.4pp
FanDuel 165 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.1%
91
Exit velocity93.2
96
Hard-hit%52.9%
95
xBA0.382
93
xSLG0.650
85
xwOBA0.384
95
BB%9.8%
63 +30 vs proj
Bat speed71.9
80
K%18.9%
69
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength94.0 · SS
93
Outs Above Avg17.0 · SS
100
Range Runs12.1 · SS
100
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.2 · SS
97
Bolts56.0 · SS
100
SB Success Rate90.5% · SS
86
Sprint Speed30.4 · SS
100
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.8%
31
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5%
37
Correct Decisions63.2%
22
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
28
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.333
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.349 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.362
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.326 to 0.422
RegressionPositive · 0.011
Opposing pitcherMike Burrows
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)