Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Josh Bell

MIN · Hitter · bats L · age 34
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore
Sample4752.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.8
F 15.7
V 15.7
Model 19.2% Market 14.7% Gap +3.9pp
FanDuel 555 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 57.2
F 72.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 72.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.2% Market 71.4% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 23.4
F 22.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 23.4% Market -- Gap +4.4pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
65
Exit velocity88.9
55
Hard-hit%38.9%
47 -18 vs proj
xBA0.317
43
xSLG0.550
62
xwOBA0.303
45 -25 vs proj
BB%7.0%
31 -30 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
61
K%23.8%
38 -24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
28
Range Runs-0.9 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.5 · DH
8
Sprint Speed25.6 · DH
12
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.7%
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.6%
91
Correct Decisions67.5%
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.356
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.320
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.291 to 0.376
RegressionNegative · -0.000
Opposing pitcherMatthew Liberatore
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)