Mithrandir Metrics
BAL 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Gunnar Henderson

BAL · Hitter · bats L · age 25
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupBAL vs SDRandy Vásquez
Sample2175.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.6
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 22.2% Market 17.3% Gap +4.2pp
FanDuel 455 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 69.6
F 84.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 82.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 69.6% Market 78.9% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel -110 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 32.3
F 34.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 32.3% Market -- Gap +1.0pp
FanDuel 200 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.7%
59 -21 vs proj
Exit velocity89.0
57
Hard-hit%44.8%
71 -22 vs proj
xBA0.319
45
xSLG0.536
56
xwOBA0.303
44 -44 vs proj
BB%7.8%
39 -26 vs proj
Bat speed72.7
86
K%24.4%
36 -22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
56
Arm Strength93.9 · SS
92
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
70
Range Runs2.4 · SS
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.6 · SS
88
Bolts1.0 · SS
16
SB Success Rate83.3% · SS
64
Sprint Speed28.2 · SS
74
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.3%
33
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.3%
30
Correct Decisions64.4%
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
26
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.298 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.300
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.304
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.308 to 0.415
RegressionNegative · -0.038
Opposing pitcherRandy Vásquez
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)