Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Jahmai Jones

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 29
IN · 6 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CLEJoey Cantillo
Sample334.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 25.8
F 26.0
V 26.0
Model 17.2% Market 13.6% Gap +3.1pp
FanDuel 605 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 58.5
F 69.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 72.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 58.5% Market 69.0% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 125 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 17.7
F 15.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 17.7% Market -- Gap +9.3pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
48 -16 vs proj
Exit velocity90.2
74
Hard-hit%41.7%
59
xBA0.354
77
xSLG0.606
75
xwOBA0.318
57
BB%10.0%
66
Bat speed71.1
72
K%30.0%
14 -23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.2 · RF
31 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.7 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.4 · DH
81
SB Success Rate0.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.9%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9%
Small sample
Correct Decisions68.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.337
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.249 to 0.373
RegressionPositive · 0.024
Opposing pitcherJoey Cantillo
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)