Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Zack Gelof

ATH · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 9 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupATH vs COLKyle Freeland
Sample1036.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 24.0
F 26.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 24.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 24.0% Market 25.8% Gap +1.9pp
DraftKings 300 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
56
Exit velocity87.1
34
Hard-hit%40.2%
53
xBA0.303
29
xSLG0.540
58
xwOBA0.287
29
BB%6.6%
24
Bat speed71.7
78
K%25.3%
32 +28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 3B
28
Arm Strength91.0 · 3B
83
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
45
Range Runs0.2 · 3B
49
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.7 · 3B
90
Bolts4.0 · 3B
51
Sprint Speed28.7 · 3B
88
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.7%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.9%
Small sample
Correct Decisions68.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.378 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.229 to 0.360
RegressionNegative · -0.065
Opposing pitcherKyle Freeland
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)