Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Riley Greene

DET · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CLEJoey Cantillo
Sample2118.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 20.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 19.2% Market 16.4% Gap +2.1pp
FanDuel 485 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.0
F 71.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 74.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 60.0% Market 71.4% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 19.8
F 17.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 19.8% Market -- Gap +7.2pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.0%
82
Exit velocity91.3
87
Hard-hit%51.3%
93
xBA0.386
94
xSLG0.688
90
xwOBA0.362
85
BB%11.5%
78 +31 vs proj
Bat speed73.9
94
K%27.6%
23
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.9 · LF
5
Arm Strength86.1 · LF
9
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
21
Range Runs-0.3 · LF
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.4 · LF
52
Sprint Speed26.5 · LF
27
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.7%
77
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0%
83
Correct Decisions70.4%
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.341 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.415
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.311 to 0.392
RegressionNegative · -0.048
Opposing pitcherJoey Cantillo
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)