Section III · Betting · Game market · model-only
NRFI and YRFI.
First-inning run probabilities with model and market context kept distinct.
NRFI / YRFI model only
METHOD model only
ROWS 13
Model-only view
Model-only view. Live NRFI/YRFI prop lines from sportsbooks are not currently captured in our data pipeline. The probabilities shown are our model's first-inning projection based on starter quality, top-of-lineup quality, park, and weather. When line data is available, we will add the model-market gap.
First-inning board
| # | Game | Starters | Model NRFI | Model YRFI | 1st inn runs | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | NYM @ WSH822678 |
Jonah TongConnelly Early |
49.6% | 50.4% | 0.70 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 02 | PIT @ DET824219 |
Kirby YatesJustin Verlander |
46.2% | 53.8% | 0.77 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 03 | CIN @ TOR822759 |
Rhett LowderTrey Yesavage |
47.9% | 52.1% | 0.74 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 04 | LAD @ SF823165 |
Blake SnellMatt Wilkinson |
49.7% | 50.3% | 0.70 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 05 | TEX @ MIN823653 |
Nathan EovaldiBailey Ober |
48.0% | 52.0% | 0.73 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 06 | ATL @ MIA823813 |
Brent SuterJack Ralston |
50.5% | 49.5% | 0.68 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 07 | CLE @ KC824057 |
Tanner BibeeMichael Wacha |
49.0% | 51.0% | 0.71 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 08 | COL @ CWS824543 |
Jose QuintanaDavis Martin |
50.2% | 49.8% | 0.69 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 09 | STL @ MIL823733 |
Quinn MathewsDustin May |
49.6% | 50.4% | 0.70 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 10 | TB @ PHI823407 |
Griffin Jax-- |
49.7% | 50.3% | 0.70 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 11 | AZ @ SD823245 |
--Walker Buehler |
48.9% | 51.1% | 0.71 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 12 | HOU @ ATH824949 |
Hayden WesneskiJack Perkins |
46.0% | 54.0% | 0.78 | model onlymodel-only projection |
| 13 | LAA @ SEA823083 |
Ryan JohnsonKade Anderson |
48.7% | 51.3% | 0.72 | model onlymodel-only projection |