Mithrandir Metrics
Game markets 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Game market · pilot

Totals and run lines.

Game-level run estimates beside the current market context.

Games
13
Method
Rolling
Date
2026-09-26
GAME LINES rolling context ROWS 13 MARKET GAP sanity-checked
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Projection stack

Rolling team talent · opponent · starter · bullpen · lineup status

daily cached
TEAM TALENT Bayesian rolling wins OPPONENT runs allowed context STARTER rolling ERA BULLPEN FIP LINEUP confirmed / pending
Game board
#GameHome team runsAway team runsModel totalMarket O/UGapRun lineRead
01
NYM @ WSHgame 822678
 4.15WSH 4.66NYM 8.8model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.3runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
02
PIT @ DETgame 824219
 4.39DET 4.88PIT 9.3model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.8runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
03
CIN @ TORgame 822759
 4.78TOR 4.32CIN 9.1model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.6runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
04
LAD @ SFgame 823165
 4.00SF 4.61LAD 8.6model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.1runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
05
TEX @ MINgame 823653
 4.52MIN 4.74TEX 9.3model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.8runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
06
ATL @ MIAgame 823813
 4.05MIA 4.61ATL 8.7model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.2runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
07
CLE @ KCgame 824057
 4.58KC 4.37CLE 9.0model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.5runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
08
COL @ CWSgame 824543
 4.38CWS 4.15COL 8.5model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.0runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
09
STL @ MILgame 823733
 4.34MIL 4.24STL 8.6model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.1runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
10
TB @ PHIgame 823407
 4.58PHI 4.28TB 8.9model 6.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +2.4runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
11
AZ @ SDgame 823245
 4.44SD 4.52AZ 9.0model --missing -- 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
12
HOU @ ATHgame 824949
 4.54ATH 5.03HOU 9.6model --missing -- 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
13
LAA @ SEAgame 823083
 4.70SEA 4.31LAA 9.0model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed