Mithrandir Metrics
NYY 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Cody Bellinger

NYY · Hitter · bats L · age 31
IN · 3 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupNYY vs TORKevin Gausman
Sample4474.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 23.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 22.1% Market 16.9% Gap +4.6pp
FanDuel 470 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 69.3
F 83.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 82.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 69.3% Market 80.4% Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 28.1
F 28.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 28.1% Market -- Gap +2.3pp
FanDuel 230 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
57
Exit velocity89.4
62
Hard-hit%38.5%
45 +18 vs proj
xBA0.339
66
xSLG0.537
57
xwOBA0.374
91 +37 vs proj
BB%13.6%
90 +48 vs proj
Bat speed68.6
37
K%12.6%
93
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.9 · LF
84
Arm Strength97.8 · LF
89
Outs Above Avg3.0 · LF
94
Range Runs2.4 · LF
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · LF
33
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
4
Sprint Speed27.5 · LF
55
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.6%
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.9%
54
Correct Decisions68.1%
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.337 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.366 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.364
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.289 to 0.362
RegressionNegative · -0.006
Opposing pitcherKevin Gausman
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)