Mithrandir Metrics
BAL 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Adley Rutschman

BAL · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupBAL vs SDRandy Vásquez
Sample2064.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 20.3% Market 11.9% Gap +8.0pp
DraftKings 710 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 33.3
F 55.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 54.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 33.3% Market 54.3% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 240 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 23.4
F 22.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 23.4% Market -- Gap +5.2pp
FanDuel 250 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.2%
79 +27 vs proj
Exit velocity90.3
78
Hard-hit%48.2%
86 +42 vs proj
xBA0.348
74
xSLG0.578
68
xwOBA0.377
92 +21 vs proj
BB%10.3%
69
Bat speed69.5
47
K%13.5%
91
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
68
Catcher Throwing2.1 · C
94
Framing Runs5.0 · C
98
Pop Time2.0 · C
47
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · C
48
Sprint Speed26.6 · C
29
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.2%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.1%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.316 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.378 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.293 to 0.380
RegressionNegative · -0.025
Opposing pitcherRandy Vásquez
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)